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Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group (SHSE:600638) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Surges 15% This Past Week

Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group (SHSE:600638) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Surges 15% This Past Week

上海新黄浦实业集团(SHSE: 600638)的收益和股东回报率在过去五年中一直呈下降趋势,但该股上周飙升了15%
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 21:24

This week we saw the Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600638) share price climb by 15%. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. After all, the share price is down 50% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

本周我们看到上海新黄浦实业集团有限公司(SHSE: 600638)的股价上涨了15%。但是在过去的五年中,该股表现不佳。毕竟,当时股价下跌了50%,表现大大低于市场。

While the stock has risen 15% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

尽管该股在过去一周上涨了15%,但长期股东仍处于亏损状态,但让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group became profitable within the last five years. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

上海新黄浦实业集团在过去五年内实现盈利。大多数人会认为这是一件好事,因此股价下跌是违反直觉的。其他指标可以更好地解释股价走势。

We don't think that the 0.6% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. Revenue is actually up 38% over the time period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

我们认为0.6%不是影响股价的重要因素,因为随着股息的增加,它相当小。在此期间,收入实际上增长了38%。对收入和收益进行更详细的审查可能会也可能无法解释股价下跌的原因;可能有机会。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600638 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 30th 2024
SHSE: 600638 2024 年 4 月 30 日收益和收入增长

Take a more thorough look at Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通过这份免费的资产负债表报告,更全面地了解上海新黄浦实业集团的财务状况。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group, it has a TSR of -46% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。以上海新黄浦实业集团为例,其过去5年的股东回报率为-46%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We regret to report that Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group shareholders are down 18% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 13%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group (1 is potentially serious) that you should be aware of.

我们遗憾地报告,上海新黄浦实业集团的股东今年下跌了18%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比整个市场13%的跌幅还要严重。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本发展。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中8%的年化亏损还要糟糕。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解上海新黄浦实业集团,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经确定了上海新黄浦实业集团的3个警告信号(其中一个可能很严重),你应该注意这些信号。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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