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DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD (SHSE:600744) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD (SHSE:600744) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

大唐华银电力有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:600744)使用债务可能被视为风险
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 22:26

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, DaTang HuaYin Electric Power CO.,LTD (SHSE:600744) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,大唐华银电力有限公司, LTD(SHSE: 600744)确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,这样才能控制债务。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它用高回报率进行再投资的能力取代了公司的稀释时。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD's Net Debt?

大唐华银电力有限公司的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD had CN¥16.4b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥955.9m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥15.5b.

如下所示,截至2024年3月,大唐华银电力有限公司有164亿元人民币的债务,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更多详细信息。但是,由于其现金储备为9.559亿元人民币,其净负债较少,约为155亿加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600744 Debt to Equity History April 30th 2024
SHSE: 600744 2024 年 4 月 30 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD's Balance Sheet?

大唐华银电力有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD had liabilities of CN¥8.06b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥14.3b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥955.9m in cash and CN¥1.99b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥19.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,大唐华银电力有限公司的负债为80.6亿元人民币,12个月内到期的负债为143亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有9.559亿元的现金和19.9亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出194亿元人民币。

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥6.42b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

这一赤字给这家64.2亿元人民币的公司蒙上了阴影,就像一个耸立在凡人之上的巨人。因此,我们绝对认为股东需要密切关注这个问题。毕竟,如果大唐华银电力有限公司今天必须向债权人付款,则可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

As it happens DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.8 but very strong interest coverage of 1k. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. We also note that DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive CN¥337m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

碰巧的是,大唐华银电力有限公司的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率相当令人担忧,为10.8,但利息覆盖率非常高,为1k。这意味着,除非公司能够获得非常便宜的债务,否则利息支出将来可能会增加。我们还注意到,大唐华银电力有限公司的息税前利润从去年的亏损提高至正3.37亿元人民币。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是大唐华银电力有限公司的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。因此,值得检查一下利息和税前收益(EBIT)中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。去年,大唐华银电力有限公司烧掉了大量现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD you should know about.

从表面上看,大唐华银电力有限公司将息税前利润转换为自由现金流使我们对该股持初步看法,其总负债水平并不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空荡荡的餐厅更具吸引力。但至少它在用息税前利润支付利息支出方面相当不错;这令人鼓舞。在考虑了所讨论的数据点之后,我们认为大唐华银电力有限公司的债务太多了。这种风险对某些人来说是可以的,但它肯定无法满足我们的需求。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了你应该知道的大唐华银电力有限公司的两个警告标志。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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