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Guangdong Shirongzhaoye's (SZSE:002016) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Jumps 15% This Past Week

Guangdong Shirongzhaoye's (SZSE:002016) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Jumps 15% This Past Week

广东世荣兆业(SZSE:002016)的收益轨迹可能会转为正值,因为该股上周上涨了15%
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 22:52

Guangdong Shirongzhaoye Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002016) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 15% in the last week. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. In fact, the share price is down 36%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

广东世荣兆业股份有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002016)的股东应该很高兴看到上周股价上涨了15%。但这并不能改变这样一个事实,即过去五年的回报并不令人满意。实际上,股价下跌了36%,远低于购买指数基金所能获得的回报。

While the last five years has been tough for Guangdong Shirongzhaoye shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

尽管过去五年对广东世荣兆业股东来说是艰难的,但过去一周显示出希望的迹象。因此,让我们来看看长期基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动力。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Looking back five years, both Guangdong Shirongzhaoye's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 25% per year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 8% compound annual share price fall. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around.

回顾五年,广东世荣兆业的股价和每股收益均有所下降;后者每年下降25%。每股收益的下降比8%的复合年股价下跌还要严重。股价反应相对平淡,可能是因为市场预计业务将好转。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:002016 Earnings Per Share Growth April 30th 2024
SZSE:002016 每股收益增长 2024 年 4 月 30 日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Guangdong Shirongzhaoye, it has a TSR of -28% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。以广东世荣兆业为例,在过去5年的股东回报率为-28%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Guangdong Shirongzhaoye shares lost 10% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 13%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Guangdong Shirongzhaoye that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管广东世荣兆业股价全年下跌10%确实令人失望,但这还不如13%的市场跌幅那么糟糕。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中5%的年化亏损还要糟糕。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现了广东世荣兆业的两个警告信号,在这里投资之前,您应该注意这些信号。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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