Is Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd (SZSE:001896) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd (SZSE:001896) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Henan Yuneng Holdings Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:001896) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们注意到,河南宇能控股有限公司, Ltd.(深圳证券交易所:001896)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?
When Is Debt A Problem?
债务何时会成为问题?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd's Net Debt?
河南裕能控股有限公司的净负债是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd had CN¥21.8b of debt, an increase on CN¥18.7b, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.29b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥20.5b.
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年12月,河南宇能控股有限公司在一年内有218亿元人民币的债务,比187亿元人民币的债务有所增加。另一方面,它拥有12.9亿元的现金,净负债约为205亿加元。
How Strong Is Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd's Balance Sheet?
河南宇能控股有限公司的资产负债表有多强?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd had liabilities of CN¥12.7b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥15.4b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.29b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.95b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥23.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,河南宇能控股有限公司的负债为127亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为154亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有12.9亿元人民币的现金以及价值29.5亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出238亿元人民币。
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥6.62b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
这里的缺陷严重影响了这家66.2亿元人民币的公司本身,就好像一个孩子在装满书本、运动装备和喇叭的巨大背包的重压下挣扎一样。因此,我们绝对认为股东需要密切关注这个问题。归根结底,如果债权人要求还款,河南豫能控股有限公司可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。因此,我们将债务与收益的关系考虑在内,包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用。
As it happens Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 14.7 but very strong interest coverage of 1k. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. We also note that Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive CN¥16m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
碰巧的是,河南宇能控股有限公司的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率相当令人担忧,为14.7,但利息覆盖率非常高,为1k。这意味着,除非公司能够获得非常便宜的债务,否则利息支出将来可能会增加。我们还注意到,河南豫能控股有限公司的息税前利润从去年的亏损提高至正1600万元人民币。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为河南宇能控股有限公司需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,值得检查一下利息和税前收益(EBIT)中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。去年,河南宇能控股有限公司烧掉了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。
Our View
我们的观点
To be frank both Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. It's also worth noting that Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, it seems to us that Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
坦率地说,河南豫能控股有限公司将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,以及其保持总负债水平的往绩都使我们对其债务水平感到相当不舒服。但至少它在用息税前利润支付利息支出方面相当不错;这令人鼓舞。还值得注意的是,河南宇能控股有限公司属于电力公用事业行业,人们通常认为该行业具有很强的防御性。总体而言,在我们看来,河南宇能控股有限公司的资产负债表对业务来说确实是一个相当大的风险。因此,我们对这只鱼的警惕几乎就像一只饥饿的小猫要掉进主人的鱼池一样警惕:正如他们所说,一旦被咬伤,两次害羞。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经向河南宇能控股有限公司确定了3个警告信号(至少有1个不太适合我们),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。