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We Like The Quality Of China Beststudy Education Group's (HKG:3978) Earnings

We Like The Quality Of China Beststudy Education Group's (HKG:3978) Earnings

我们喜欢中国百思德教育集团(HKG: 3978)收益的质量
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 18:17

Shareholders appeared to be happy with China Beststudy Education Group's (HKG:3978) solid earnings report last week. Looking deeper at the numbers, we found several encouraging factors beyond the headline profit numbers.

股东们似乎对中国百思教育集团(HKG: 3978)上周的稳健收益报告感到满意。深入研究这些数字,除了总体利润数字外,我们还发现了几个令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:3978 Earnings and Revenue History April 30th 2024
SEHK: 3978 2024 年 4 月 30 日的收益和收入记录

A Closer Look At China Beststudy Education Group's Earnings

仔细看看中国百思德教育集团的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

China Beststudy Education Group has an accrual ratio of -2.17 for the year to December 2023. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥274m, well over the CN¥91.2m it reported in profit. Given that China Beststudy Education Group had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥274m would seem to be a step in the right direction. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2023年12月的一年中,中国百思教育集团的应计比率为-2.17。这表明其自由现金流大大超过了其法定利润。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流为2.74亿元人民币,远远超过其公布的9,120万元人民币的利润。鉴于中国百思教育集团在前一同期的自由现金流为负,过去十二个月的2.74亿元人民币的业绩似乎是朝着正确方向迈出的一步。话虽如此,故事还有更多。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

China Beststudy Education Group's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥22m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If China Beststudy Education Group doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

在过去的十二个月中,China Bestudy Education Group的利润因价值2200万元人民币的不寻常项目而减少,这帮助其产生了很高的现金转化率,其不寻常的项目就反映了这一点。这就是你所期望看到的公司的非现金费用会减少纸面利润的情况。看到不寻常的项目使公司利润损失从来都不是一件好事,但从好的方面来看,情况可能迟早会好转。我们调查了数千家上市公司,发现不寻常的物品本质上往往是一次性的。鉴于这些单列项目被认为不寻常,这并不奇怪。如果China Bestudy教育集团不认为这些不寻常的支出重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其利润将在来年增加。

Our Take On China Beststudy Education Group's Profit Performance

我们对China Bestudy教育集团盈利表现的看法

Considering both China Beststudy Education Group's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. After considering all this, we reckon China Beststudy Education Group's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with China Beststudy Education Group (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

考虑到中国百思教育集团的应计比率及其不寻常的项目,我们认为其法定收益不太可能夸大该公司的基础盈利能力。在考虑了所有这些之后,我们认为中国百思教育集团的法定利润可能低估了其盈利潜力!考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。为此,你应该了解我们在China Beststudy教育集团发现的3个警告信号(其中一个对我们来说不太合适)。

Our examination of China Beststudy Education Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对China Bestudy教育集团的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。而且它已经以优异的成绩过去了。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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