Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8418) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 38% share price jump in the last month. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.7% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Specialty Retail industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may consider Optima Automobile Group Holdings as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
How Has Optima Automobile Group Holdings Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen firmly for Optima Automobile Group Holdings recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Optima Automobile Group Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Optima Automobile Group Holdings?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Optima Automobile Group Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 15% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Optima Automobile Group Holdings is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Optima Automobile Group Holdings' P/S?
Optima Automobile Group Holdings shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It's no surprise that Optima Automobile Group Holdings can support its high P/S given the strong revenue growth its experienced over the last three-year is superior to the current industry outlook. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Optima Automobile Group Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
上个月,Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited(HKG: 8418)股东的耐心得到了回报,股价上涨了38%。但是,上个月的涨幅不足以使股东恢复健康,因为股价在过去十二个月中仍下跌了9.7%。
在公司股价反弹之后,当香港专业零售行业将近一半的公司的市销率(或 “市销率”)低于0.4倍时,你可以将Optima Automobile Group Holdings视为一只市销率为1.2倍的股票,可能不值得研究。但是,仅按面值计算市销率是不明智的,因为可以解释其为何如此之高。
Optima 汽车集团控股公司最近表现如何?
最近,Optima Automotive Group Holdings的收入稳步增长,这令人高兴。也许市场预计这种不错的收入表现将在短期内击败该行业,这保持了市销率的上升。但是,如果不是这样,投资者可能会陷入为股票支付过多费用的困境。
尽管没有分析师对Optima Automobile Group Holdings的估计,但请看一下这个免费的数据丰富的可视化图表,看看该公司如何积累收益、收入和现金流。
预计Optima汽车集团控股公司的收入增长是否足够?
为了证明其市销率是合理的,Optima Automobile Group Holdings需要实现超过该行业的惊人增长。
有了这些信息,我们可以了解Optima Automobile Group Holdings为何与该行业相比市销率如此之高。看来大多数投资者都预计这种强劲的增长将继续下去,并愿意为该股支付更多费用。
我们可以从Optima汽车集团控股公司的市销率中学到什么?
Optima Automobile Group Holdings的股票已向北方向迈出了一大步,但其市销率因此上升。我们可以说,市销比率的力量主要不是作为一种估值工具,而是用来衡量当前的投资者情绪和未来预期。
鉴于Optima Automobile Group Holdings在过去三年的强劲收入增长优于当前的行业前景,Optima Automobile Group Holdings能够支撑其高市销率也就不足为奇了。在现阶段,投资者认为,未来潜在的持续收入增长足以保证市销率的上涨。除非最近的中期状况发生变化,否则他们将继续为股价提供强有力的支撑。
还有其他重要的风险因素需要考虑,我们已经发现了Optima Automobile Group Holdings的3个警告信号(其中一个有点不愉快!)在这里投资之前,您应该注意这一点。