share_log

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at China Aerospace Times Electronics (SHSE:600879) the Stock Increases 9.9%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 35%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at China Aerospace Times Electronics (SHSE:600879) the Stock Increases 9.9%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 35%

尽管中国航天时报电子(SHSE: 600879)的收益呈下降趋势,但该股仍增长了9.9%,使五年涨幅达到35%
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 18:29

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, long term China Aerospace Times Electronics CO., LTD. (SHSE:600879) shareholders have enjoyed a 32% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 13% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 3.0% , including dividends .

一般而言,积极选股的目的是寻找回报优于市场平均水平的公司。事实是,如果你以合适的价格购买高质量的企业,你可以获得可观的收益。例如,长期来看,中国航天时代电子有限公司(SHSE: 600879)股东在过去五年中股价上涨了32%,远远超过了约13%的市场回报率(不包括股息)。另一方面,最近的涨幅并不那么令人印象深刻,股东仅增长了3.0%,包括股息。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在连续7天表现稳健的背景下,让我们来看看公司的基本面在推动长期股东回报方面发挥了什么作用。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

During five years of share price growth, China Aerospace Times Electronics actually saw its EPS drop 2.0% per year.

在五年的股价增长中,中国航天时报电子的每股收益实际上每年下降2.0%。

So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,很难说每股收益是评判公司的最佳指标,因为目前每股收益可能还没有针对利润进行优化。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

The modest 0.6% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 8.1% per year is probably viewed as evidence that China Aerospace Times Electronics is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

0.6%的适度股息收益率不太可能支撑股价。相比之下,每年8.1%的收入增长可能被视为中国航天时报电子增长的证据,这是一个真正的积极因素。在这种情况下,该公司可能会牺牲当前的每股收益来推动增长。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600879 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 30th 2024
SHSE: 600879 2024 年 4 月 30 日收益和收入增长

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, China Aerospace Times Electronics' TSR for the last 5 years was 35%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,中国航天时代电子过去5年的股东总回报率为35%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that China Aerospace Times Electronics shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 3.0% over one year. That's including the dividend. However, that falls short of the 6% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for China Aerospace Times Electronics you should know about.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,中国航天时报电子的股东在一年内获得了 3.0% 的总股东回报率。这包括股息。但是,这低于其在五年内每年为股东创造的6%的股东总回报率。悲观的看法是,该股已经过了最好的时机,但另一方面,在业务本身继续执行的同时,价格可能只是在放缓。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,考虑风险。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了一个你应该知道的《中国航天时报》电子的警告标志。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发