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Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For RumereLtd (SZSE:301088)

Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For RumereLtd (SZSE:301088)

疲软的法定收益可能无法说明Rumereltd(深圳证券交易所代码:301088)的全部情况
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 19:15

Despite Rumere Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301088) most recent earnings report having soft headline numbers, its stock has had a positive performance. We did some analysis and found some positive factors that investors might be paying attention to rather than profit.

尽管 Rumere Co., Ltd. 's(深圳证券交易所股票代码:301088)最新的收益报告显示了疲软的标题数据,其股票表现良好。我们进行了一些分析,发现了一些积极因素,投资者可能会关注这些积极因素,而不是获利。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301088 Earnings and Revenue History April 30th 2024
SZSE: 301088 2024 年 4 月 30 日的收益和收入记录

A Closer Look At RumereLtd's Earnings

仔细看看 Rumereltd 的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

For the year to March 2024, RumereLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.46. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥74.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥310m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥60m a year ago though, so RumereLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,RumerEltd的应计比率为0.46。从统计学上讲,这对未来的收益来说确实是负面的。事实上,在此期间,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管该公司公布了7,440万加元的利润,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了3.1亿元人民币。但是,我们看到一年前的FCF为6000万元人民币,因此Rumereltd过去至少能够产生正的FCF。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

RumereLtd's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥69m in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. RumereLtd took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to March 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

Rumereltd的利润来自于不寻常的项目,在过去的十二个月中,利润减少了6900万元人民币。如果这是一笔非现金费用,则可以更轻松地实现高现金转换,因此令人惊讶的是,应计比率讲述了一个不同的故事。尽管由于不寻常项目而产生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一线希望。我们调查了数千家上市公司,发现不寻常的物品本质上往往是一次性的。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。在截至2024年3月的一年中,Rumereltd因不寻常的物品而遭受了相当大的打击。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的物品使其法定利润明显低于原来的水平。

Our Take On RumereLtd's Profit Performance

我们对Rumereltd利润表现的看法

RumereLtd saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if RumereLtd's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for RumereLtd (2 don't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

Rumereltd看到不寻常的项目压制了其利润,这本来可以更容易地显示出高现金转化率,但根据其应计比率,Rumereltd没有这样做。基于这些因素,很难判断Rumereltd的利润是否合理地反映了其潜在的盈利能力。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司进行更多分析,了解所涉及的风险至关重要。当我们进行研究时,我们发现了 Rumereltd 的 3 个警告信号(2 个不要坐得太好!)我们认为值得你全神贯注。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,以此作为企业的指南。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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