i-Control Holdings Limited (HKG:1402) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 33% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 23% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may consider i-Control Holdings as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
SEHK:1402 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 1st 2024
How Has i-Control Holdings Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at i-Control Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for i-Control Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is i-Control Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like i-Control Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.3%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 7.9% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 14% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that i-Control Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does i-Control Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
i-Control Holdings shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that i-Control Holdings currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for i-Control Holdings (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of i-Control Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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