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AAC Technologies Holdings Inc.'s (HKG:2018) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

AAC Technologies Holdings Inc.'s (HKG:2018) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

瑞声科技控股公司's (HKG: 2018) 股价飙升但财务状况似乎前后矛盾:上涨趋势会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/01 01:49

AAC Technologies Holdings' (HKG:2018) stock is up by a considerable 42% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to AAC Technologies Holdings' ROE today.

瑞声科技控股公司(HKG: 2018)的股票在过去三个月中上涨了42%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头是否可以维持。特别是,我们今天将关注瑞声科技控股的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for AAC Technologies Holdings is:

因此,根据上述公式,瑞声科技控股公司的投资回报率为:

2.6% = CN¥571m ÷ CN¥22b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

2.6% = 5.71亿元人民币 ÷ 220亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.03.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。因此,这意味着该公司每投资1港元,就会产生0.03港元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

AAC Technologies Holdings' Earnings Growth And 2.6% ROE

瑞声科技控股的收益增长和2.6%的投资回报率

As you can see, AAC Technologies Holdings' ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 5.7%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 32% seen by AAC Technologies Holdings over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

如你所见,瑞声科技控股的投资回报率看起来相当疲软。即使与行业平均水平的5.7%相比,投资回报率的数字也相当令人失望。在这种情况下,瑞声科技控股公司在过去五年中净收入大幅下降了32%,这并不奇怪。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的盈利前景产生负面影响。例如,该公司的派息率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。

So, as a next step, we compared AAC Technologies Holdings' performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 4.4% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我们将瑞声科技控股的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但该行业在过去几年中一直以4.4%的速度增长收益。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:2018 Past Earnings Growth May 1st 2024
香港交易所:2018 过去的收益增长 2024 年 5 月 1 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 2018 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水,还是沼泽的水域在等着你。2018 年的估值是否合理?这张关于公司内在价值的信息图包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is AAC Technologies Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

瑞声科技控股公司是否在有效利用其利润?

When we piece together AAC Technologies Holdings' low three-year median payout ratio of 18% (where it is retaining 82% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.

当我们计算出瑞声科技控股过去三年来最低的三年派息率中位数18%(保留了82%的利润)时,我们对缺乏增长感到困惑。当公司保留大部分收益时,通常不应出现这种情况。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

Moreover, AAC Technologies Holdings has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 20%. Still, forecasts suggest that AAC Technologies Holdings' future ROE will rise to 8.3% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,AAC Technologies Holdings派发股息已有至少十年或更长时间了,这表明管理层一定已经意识到股东更喜欢分红而不是收益增长。我们最新的分析师数据显示,公司未来三年的派息率预计约为20%。尽管如此,预测表明,瑞声科技控股公司的未来投资回报率将升至8.3%,尽管该公司的派息率预计不会有太大变化。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about AAC Technologies Holdings' performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们对瑞声科技控股的表现有些矛盾。尽管该公司的利润保留率确实很高,但其低回报率可能会阻碍其收益增长。既然如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师预计公司的收益增长率将大幅提高。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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