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Is Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology (SHSE:603466) A Risky Investment?

Is Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology (SHSE:603466) A Risky Investment?

上海风语筑文化科技(上海证券交易所股票代码:603466)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 00:50

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603466) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。与许多其他公司一样,上海风语筑文化科技股份有限公司(SHSE:603466)也使用债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology Carry?

上海风语筑文化科技背负了多少债务?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology had CN¥503.0m in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥1.82b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.31b.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图表显示,上海风语筑文化科技在2024年3月有5.030亿元人民币的债务;与前一年大致相同。但是,它确实有18.2亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为13.1亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603466 Debt to Equity History May 2nd 2024
SHSE: 603466 2024 年 5 月 2 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology's Balance Sheet?

上海风语筑文化科技的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.71b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥551.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.82b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.71b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.26b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,上海风语筑文化科技在12个月内到期的负债为17.1亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为5.515亿元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有18.2亿元人民币的现金以及价值17.1亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出12.6亿元人民币 负债。

This excess liquidity suggests that Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种过剩的流动性表明上海风语筑文化科技正在对债务采取谨慎的态度。鉴于它很容易获得足够的短期流动性,我们认为其贷款机构不会有任何问题。简而言之,上海风语筑文化科技拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!

Even more impressive was the fact that Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology grew its EBIT by 212% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

更令人印象深刻的是,上海风语筑文化科技的息税前利润在十二个月内增长了212%。如果这种增长得以维持,将使未来几年的债务更加易于管理。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益比什么都更能决定上海风语筑文化科技未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 86% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。尽管上海风语筑文化科技的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,上海风语筑文化科技录得的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的86%,比我们通常预期的要强。如果需要的话,这有利于偿还债务。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology has CN¥1.31b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 86% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in -CN¥17m. When it comes to Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology's debt, we sufficiently relaxed that our mind turns to the jacuzzi. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在本案中,上海风语筑文化科技拥有13.1亿元人民币的净现金和不错的资产负债表。最重要的是,它将息税前利润的86%转换为自由现金流,带来了-1700万元人民币的收入。说到上海风语筑文化科技的债务,我们已经足够放松,以至于我们的注意力转向了按摩浴缸。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,上海风语筑文化科技有 1 个警示标志,我们认为你应该注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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