share_log

We Think Qingdao Sentury Tire (SZSE:002984) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Qingdao Sentury Tire (SZSE:002984) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为青岛森特瑞轮胎(深圳证券交易所:002984)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 18:29

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Qingdao Sentury Tire Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002984) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。与许多其他公司一样,青岛森特瑞轮胎有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002984)也使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Qingdao Sentury Tire's Debt?

青岛森特瑞轮胎的债务是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Qingdao Sentury Tire had CN¥1.98b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.66b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.69b net cash position.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图表显示,青岛森特瑞轮胎在2024年3月有19.8亿元人民币的债务;与前一年大致相同。但另一方面,它也有36.6亿元人民币的现金,净现金状况为16.9亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002984 Debt to Equity History May 2nd 2024
SZSE: 002984 2024 年 5 月 2 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Qingdao Sentury Tire's Balance Sheet?

青岛圣腾瑞轮胎的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Qingdao Sentury Tire had liabilities of CN¥1.71b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.12b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.66b and CN¥1.26b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.10b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,青岛森特瑞轮胎在12个月内到期的负债为17.1亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为21.2亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为36.6亿元人民币,还有价值12.6亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出11亿元人民币 负债。

This surplus suggests that Qingdao Sentury Tire has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Qingdao Sentury Tire has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种盈余表明青岛森特瑞轮胎的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,青岛森特瑞轮胎的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

Better yet, Qingdao Sentury Tire grew its EBIT by 102% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Qingdao Sentury Tire can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

更好的是,青岛森特瑞轮胎去年的息税前利润增长了102%,这是一个令人印象深刻的改善。如果这种增长得以维持,将使未来几年的债务更加易于管理。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定青岛森特瑞轮胎能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Qingdao Sentury Tire has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Qingdao Sentury Tire reported free cash flow worth 18% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。尽管青岛森特瑞轮胎的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,青岛森特瑞轮胎公布的自由现金流占其息税前利润的18%,确实很低。这种低迷的现金转换水平削弱了其管理和偿还债务的能力。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Qingdao Sentury Tire has CN¥1.69b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 102% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Qingdao Sentury Tire's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Qingdao Sentury Tire that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在本案中,青岛森特瑞轮胎拥有16.9亿元人民币的净现金和不错的资产负债表。我们喜欢去年息税前利润同比增长102%的样子。那么青岛森卓瑞轮胎的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们发现了青岛森特瑞轮胎的两个警告信号,在这里投资之前你应该注意这两个警示信号。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发