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Here's Why CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) (HKG:775) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Here's Why CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) (HKG:775) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

这就是CK生命科学国际的原因。(控股)(HKG: 775)的债务负担沉重
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 18:53

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that CK Life Sciences Int'l., (Holdings) Inc. (HKG:775) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们可以看到,长江生命科学国际(控股)有限公司(HKG: 775)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) Carry?

CK Life Sciences Internat'l 有多少债务。(持股)持有?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) had HK$5.42b in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had HK$676.2m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$4.75b.

您可以点击下面的图表查看更多详细信息,该图表显示了CK生命科学国际公司。(控股)在2023年12月有54.2亿港元的债务;与前一年大致相同。但是,它也有6.762亿港元的现金,因此其净负债为47.5亿港元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:775 Debt to Equity History May 2nd 2024
SEHK: 775 2024 年 5 月 2 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings)'s Balance Sheet?

CK Life Sciences Internat'l 有多健康(控股)的资产负债表?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) had liabilities of HK$2.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$4.96b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$676.2m and HK$967.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$5.42b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到CK Life Sciences Int'l。(Holdings)的负债为21.0亿港元,12个月后到期的负债为49.6亿港元。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为6.762亿港元,还有价值9.67亿港元的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出54.2亿港元。

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's HK$3.80b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

当你考虑到这一缺口超过了公司380亿港元的市值时,你很可能会倾向于仔细审查资产负债表。假设,如果公司被迫通过按当前股价筹集资金来偿还负债,则需要进行极其严重的稀释。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

Weak interest cover of 0.72 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 12.5 hit our confidence in CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. More concerning, CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) saw its EBIT drop by 6.7% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

0.72倍的薄弱利息覆盖率和令人不安的高净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率12.5打击了我们对CK Life Sciences Int'l的信心。(持股)就像是一记二拳。这意味着我们会认为它有沉重的债务负担。更多相关信息,CK Life Sciences Internat'l。(Holdings)在过去十二个月中其息税前利润下降了6.7%。如果它继续这样下去,还清债务就像在跑步机上跑步一样,付出很大的努力,但进展不大。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为CK Life Sciences Internat'l。(控股)将需要收益来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。因此,值得检查一下息税前利润中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在过去的三年中,CK生命科学国际。(控股)产生的自由现金流实际上比息税前利润还多。在保持贷款人的支持方面,没有什么比流入的现金更好的了。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings)'s net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

从表面上看,CK Life Sciences Internat'l.(Holdings)与息税折旧摊销前利润的净负债使我们对该股持初步看法,其利息保障并不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空荡荡的餐厅更具吸引力。但好的一面是,它将息税前利润转换为自由现金流是一个好兆头,也使我们更加乐观。我们很清楚我们考虑的是CK生命科学国际。(持股)由于其资产负债表状况良好,风险确实相当大。因此,我们对这只鱼的警惕几乎就像一只饥饿的小猫要掉进主人的鱼池一样警惕:正如他们所说,一旦被咬伤,两次害羞。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经向CK Life Sciences Internat'l确定了4个警告信号。(持股)(至少2个,不容忽视),了解它们应该是投资过程的一部分。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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