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Downgrade: Here's How Analysts See Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp., Ltd. (SHSE:600378) Performing In The Near Term

Downgrade: Here's How Analysts See Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp., Ltd. (SHSE:600378) Performing In The Near Term

降级:以下是分析师对昊华化学科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 600378)短期表现的看法
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 20:09

One thing we could say about the analysts on Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp., Ltd. (SHSE:600378) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.

关于昊华化学科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 600378)的分析师,我们可以说一件事——他们并不乐观,因为他们刚刚对该组织的短期(法定)预测进行了重大负面修正。由于分析师将最新的业务前景考虑在内,得出结论,他们此前过于乐观,因此收入和每股收益(EPS)的预期均大幅下调。

After this downgrade, Haohua Chemical Science & Technology's dual analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥9.0b in 2024. This would be a huge 21% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to leap 31% to CN¥1.16. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥11b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.45 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a real cut to earnings per share numbers as well.

在这次降级之后,皓华化学科技的双重分析师现在预测2024年的收入为90亿元人民币。与过去12个月相比,这将使销售额大幅增长21%。预计每股法定收益将增长31%,至1.16元人民币。在最新更新之前,分析师一直预测2024年的收入为110亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为1.45元人民币。看来分析师的情绪已大幅下降,收入预期大幅下降,每股收益数字也有所下降。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600378 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 3rd 2024
SHSE: 600378 收益和收入增长 2024 年 5 月 3 日

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 12% to CN¥37.12.

因此,得知分析师已将目标股价下调12%至37.12元人民币也就不足为奇了。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that Haohua Chemical Science & Technology's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 21% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 15% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 16% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Haohua Chemical Science & Technology to grow faster than the wider industry.

当然,看待这些预测的另一种方法是将它们与行业本身联系起来。从最新估计中可以明显看出,昊华化学科技的增长率预计将大幅加速,预计到2024年底的年化收入增长率为21%,将明显快于过去五年中每年15%的历史增长。相比之下,同行业的其他公司预计收入每年将增长16%。显而易见,尽管增长前景比最近更加光明,但分析师也预计,皓华化学科技的增长速度将超过整个行业。

The Bottom Line

底线

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately, analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of Haohua Chemical Science & Technology.

要了解的最重要的一点是,分析师下调了每股收益预期,预计业务状况将明显下降。不幸的是,分析师也下调了收入预期,尽管我们的数据显示收入表现预计将好于整个市场。在分析师的观点发生了如此明显的变化之后,我们可以理解读者现在是否对皓华化学科技有些警惕。

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2026, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

即便如此,业务的长期发展轨迹对于股东的价值创造更为重要。至少有一位分析师提供了到2026年的预测,可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

寻找可能达到转折点的有趣公司的另一种方法是使用内部人士收购的成长型公司的免费清单,跟踪管理层是买入还是卖出。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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