San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd (SZSE:001317) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd (SZSE:001317) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
The recent earnings posted by San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:001317) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.
三洋马(重庆)物流有限公司最近公布的财报, Ltd.(深圳证券交易所:001317)表现稳定,但该股的波动幅度没有我们预期的那么大。我们认为,股东们已经注意到法定利润数字之外的一些令人担忧的因素。
Examining Cashflow Against San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's Earnings
根据三洋马(重庆)物流有限公司的收益检查现金流
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。
Over the twelve months to March 2024, San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥152m despite its profit of CN¥18.6m, mentioned above. We also note that San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥152m. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
在截至2024年3月的十二个月中,三洋马(重庆)物流有限公司的应计比率为0.21。因此,我们可以推断出其自由现金流远不足以支付其法定利润。在过去的十二个月里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流,尽管利润为1,860万元人民币,但流出量仍为1.52亿元人民币,如上所述。我们还注意到,三洋马(重庆)物流有限公司去年的自由现金流实际上也为负数,因此我们可以理解股东是否被其1.52亿元人民币的流出所困扰。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对三洋马(重庆)物流有限公司的资产负债表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
不寻常的物品如何影响利润?
The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥2.0m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
该公司去年有不寻常的项目将利润提高了200万元人民币,这一事实可能在某种程度上可以解释其应计比率为何如此疲软。虽然获得更高的利润总是件好事,但来自不寻常物品的巨额捐款有时会抑制我们的热情。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。如果三洋马(重庆)物流有限公司不认为这种捐款会重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其本年度的利润将下降。
Our Take On San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's Profit Performance
我们对三洋马(重庆)物流有限公司盈利表现的看法
Summing up, San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd and we think they deserve your attention.
总而言之,三洋马(重庆)物流有限公司从不寻常的物品中获得了不错的利润提振,但其纸面利润无法与自由现金流相提并论。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼三阳马(重庆)物流有限公司的法定利润,可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,那么考虑它面临的任何风险至关重要。在Simply Wall St,我们发现了三洋马(重庆)物流有限公司的两个警告标志,我们认为它们值得你关注。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
在本文中,我们研究了许多可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,我们对此持谨慎态度。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多值得发现的地方。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率表明商业经济状况良好,而另一些人则喜欢 “追随资金”,寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。尽管可能需要代表你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。