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Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd (SZSE:003033)

Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd (SZSE:003033)

疲软的法定收益可能无法说明青岛超和实业有限公司(深圳证券交易所:003033)的全部情况
Simply Wall St ·  05/04 21:22

Despite Qingdao CHOHO Industrial Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:003033) recent earnings report having lackluster headline numbers, the market responded positively. Sometimes, shareholders are willing to ignore soft numbers with the hope that they will improve, but our analysis suggests this is unlikely for Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd.

尽管征和工业(股票代码 SZSE:003033)最近的收益报告呈现出欠佳的营业额数字,但市场反应积极。有时候,股东们愿意忽略软性数据,希望它们会改善,但我们的分析表明,对于征和工业来说,这是不可能的。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:003033 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2024
SZSE:003033 2024年5月5日的收益和营业收入历史记录

Examining Cashflow Against Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd's Earnings

根据现金流对征和工业的盈利能力进行分析

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高金融领域中,用于衡量公司如何将申报利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定期间的FCF中减去利润,然后将结果除以公司在该期间平均经营资产。这个比率告诉我们有多少公司的利润不是由自由现金流支撑的。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负面预提比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司所获得的自由现金流比其利润所示的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心正面的预提比率,但值得注意的是,如果预提比率很高的话就要考虑这个问题。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇论文:“预提较高的公司未来的盈利能力较低”。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.24. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥117.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥202m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥2.0m a year ago though, so Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

在2024年3月的12个月内,征和工业的应计比率为0.24。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流远远低于其法定利润,这实际上并不是好事。即使它报告了CN¥11730万的利润,但查看其自由现金流表明,它实际上在过去一年中燃烧了CN¥20200万。虽然一年前FCF为CN¥200万,但征和工业至少在过去能够产生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd.

请注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。单击此处,查看我们对征和工业的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd's Profit Performance

我们对征和工业的盈利表现的看法

Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd has 3 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

征和工业最近12个月的应计比率表明现金转换不是十分理想,这是我们对其盈利能力看法的负面影响。由于这个原因,我们认为,征和工业的法定利润可能比其基本盈利能力更好。更进一步的坏消息是,它的每股收益在过去一年中有所下降。本文的目的是评估我们能否依靠法定收益来反映公司潜力,但还有很多要考虑的因素。因此,如果您想深入研究这只股票,必须考虑它面临的任何风险。例如,我们发现,征和工业有三个预警信号(1个令人担忧!),需要引起您的注意,然后再进行进一步的分析。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

这个注释只涉及有关征和工业盈利性质的一个因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以了解公司的情况。有些人认为高净资产回报率是一个优质企业的好标志。尽管您可能需要进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个具有高净资产回报率的公司集合或这个买家股票列表非常有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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