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SMO ClinPlusLTD's (SZSE:301257) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality

SMO ClinPlusLTD's (SZSE:301257) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality

SMO ClinPlusLtd(深圳证券交易所代码:301257)的收益质量值得怀疑
Simply Wall St ·  05/04 21:18

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for SMO ClinPlus CO.,LTD.'s (SZSE:301257) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

尽管发布了一些强劲的收益报告,但SMO ClinPlus股票(SZSE:301257)的市场并没有太多变化。我们仔细调查了一些细节,发现了一些令人担忧的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301257 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2024
SZSE:301257盈利和营业收入历史2024年5月5日

Examining Cashflow Against SMO ClinPlusLTD's Earnings

SMO ClinPlusLTD的现金流状况与其收益相比

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高端金融领域,用来衡量公司将报告利润转为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是来自现金流的应计比率。为了得到应计比率,我们首先计算某一时期的FCF和利润之差,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均经营资产。可以将来自现金流的应计比率视为“非FCF获利比率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,当一个公司的应计项目比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果它的应计项目比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计项目比率超过零不太值得关注,但我们认为当一个公司的应计项目比率相对较高时值得注意。需要注意的是,一些学术证据表明,高应计项目比率通常是短期利润的一个不好的迹象。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, SMO ClinPlusLTD recorded an accrual ratio of 0.33. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥76m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥132.1m. SMO ClinPlusLTD shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months.

在2024年3月的十二个月内,SMO ClinPlusLTD的应计项目比率为0.33。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远远小于其基本盈利,这让我们对利润作为指南的效用产生怀疑。事实上,去年它的自由现金流仅为7600万元人民币,远低于其132.1亿元人民币的基本盈利。SMO ClinPlusLTD的股东们无疑希望它的自由现金流在明年反弹,因为在过去的十二个月中它有所下降。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of SMO ClinPlusLTD.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查负债表。单击此处,即可查看我们对SMO ClinPlusLTD负债表的分析。

Our Take On SMO ClinPlusLTD's Profit Performance

我们对SMO ClinPlusLTD的盈利表现的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that SMO ClinPlusLTD didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that SMO ClinPlusLTD's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about SMO ClinPlusLTD as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with SMO ClinPlusLTD, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

正如我们已经明确表达过的,我们有些担心SMO ClinPlusLTD没有用自由现金流支持去年的利润。因此,我们认为SMO ClinPlusLTD的基本盈利要低于其基本盈利。但是,好在它的每股收益在过去三年中增长得非常快。归根结底,如果您想正确地了解公司,就必须考虑更多的因素。如果您想更多地了解SMO ClinPlusLTD作为一个业务企业,了解其面临的任何风险是很重要的。在投资风险方面,我们已经确定了SMO ClinPlusLTD的1个警示信号,并且了解这一点应该是您的投资过程的一部分。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of SMO ClinPlusLTD's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

此备注仅研究了揭示SMO ClinPlusLTD盈利本质的一个因素。但是,如果您能够集中精力关注细节,总会有更多的发现。例如,许多人认为高净资产回报率是良好的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“遵循资金”的方式,寻找内部人员正在购买的股票。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现,这个经验丰富的公司收集的高净资产回报率的集合,或这个股票列表是有用的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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