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Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's (SHSE:605189) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's (SHSE:605189) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

芜湖富春染料和Weaveltd(上海证券交易所代码:605189)疲软的收益可能比你想象的还要糟糕
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 01:44

A lackluster earnings announcement from Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:605189) last week didn't sink the stock price. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

上周无锡市复成染织股份有限公司(SHSE:605189)发布的业绩公告表现平淡,但并未令股票价格下跌。我们的分析表明,除软弱的利润数字外,投资者还应注意其中存在的其他基本面弱点。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:605189 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SHSE:605189盈利与营收历史记录2024年5月6日

A Closer Look At Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's Earnings

深入探析无锡市复成染织股份有限公司的盈利能力

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高端金融领域,用于衡量公司将实际利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应记比率(来自现金流)。要获取应计比率,我们首先要从某一期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均营运资产。这个比率告诉我们公司实际利润有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计负债比率对公司而言是正面的,正的应计负债比率则是负面的。这并不是要暗示我们应该担心正的应计负债比率,但值得注意的是应计负债比率相当高。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文:“应计负债较高的公司未来不太可能有高利润”。

For the year to March 2024, Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.44. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥884m despite its profit of CN¥111.2m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥884m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2024年3月,无锡市复成染织股份有限公司的应计比率为0.44。从统计学上讲,这对未来的盈利是真正的负面影响。具体来说,在这段时间内,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管该公司在上述时段有盈利11120万元,但自由现金流流出达到了88400万元。在去年出现自由现金流负数之后,我们想象一些股东可能会担心,今年的现金流出达到88400万元是否表明存在高风险。 我们认为,尽管无锡市复成染织股份有限公司有盈利11120万元,但自由现金流流出88400万元,这可能使部分投资者感到担忧。因此,我们认为无锡市复成染织股份有限公司的法定利润可能是其基本盈利能力的不良指标,可能会给投资者留下过于乐观的印象。进一步的坏消息是,该公司的每股盈利在过去一年中有所下降。当然,当涉及到分析其所得益时,我们仅仅是触及表面而已;此外,我们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报等其他因素。如果您想深入了解无锡市复成染织股份有限公司,还可以研究它目前面临的风险。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现无锡市复成染织股份有限公司存在4个预警信号(其中有2个令人不快),您应该知道它们。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's Profit Performance

我们认为,正如上述所讨论的,无锡市复成染织股份有限公司的盈利并不由自由现金流所支持,这可能令一些投资者感到担忧。因此,我们认为无锡市复成染织股份有限公司的法定利润可能是其基本盈利能力的不良指标,可能会给投资者留下过于乐观的印象。进一步的坏消息是,其每股盈利在去年下降了。当然,当涉及到分析其所得益时,我们仅仅是触及表面而已;此外,我们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报等其他因素。如果您想深入了解无锡市复成染织股份有限公司,还可以研究它目前面临的风险。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现无锡市复成染织股份有限公司存在4个预警信号(其中有2个令人不快),您应该知道它们。

As we discussed above, we think Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

我们认为,正如上文所述,无锡市复成染织股份有限公司的盈利并未由自由现金流所支撑,这可能令一些投资者感到担忧。因此,我们认为无锡市复成染织股份有限公司的法定利润可能是其基本盈利能力的不良指标,可能会给投资者留下过于乐观的印象。进一步的坏消息是,其每股盈利在去年下降了。当然,当涉及到分析其所得益时,我们仅仅是触及表面而已;此外,我们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报等其他因素。如果您想深入了解无锡市复成染织股份有限公司,还可以研究它目前面临的风险。每个公司都有风险,我们已经发现无锡市复成染织股份有限公司存在4个警告信号(其中有2个不太令人愉快!)),您应该知道它们。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们将重点关注了解无锡市复成染织股份有限公司的利润性质的单个数据点。但是,如果您能够聚焦在细节上,您还可以发现更多。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利益的商业经济指标,而其他人则喜欢“追踪资金”并寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个免费的公司收藏夹,其中包括具有高股本回报率的公司列表,或内部人士购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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