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China Sports Industry Group's (SHSE:600158) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

China Sports Industry Group's (SHSE:600158) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

中国体育产业集团(SHSE: 600158)的收益比看起来要弱
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 18:25

China Sports Industry Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600158) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

中国体育产业集团有限公司(SHSE: 600158)宣布了强劲的利润,但该股停滞不前。我们进行了一些挖掘,在细节中发现了一些相关的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600158 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SHSE: 600158 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 6 日

A Closer Look At China Sports Industry Group's Earnings

仔细观察中国体育产业集团的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但是如果应计比率为正,则被认为是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

China Sports Industry Group has an accrual ratio of 0.30 for the year to March 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥317m despite its profit of CN¥142.5m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was CN¥998m a year ago though, so China Sports Industry Group has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. One positive for China Sports Industry Group shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

截至2024年3月的一年中,中国体育产业集团的应计比率为0.30。因此,我们可以推断出其自由现金流远不足以支付其法定利润,这表明在对后者进行大量考虑之前,我们可能需要三思而后行。在过去的十二个月里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流,尽管利润为1.425亿元人民币,但流出3.17亿元人民币,如上所述。但是,我们看到一年前的FCF为9.98亿元人民币,因此中国体育产业集团过去至少能够产生正的FCF。对中国体育产业集团股东来说,一个积极因素是,该集团去年的应计比率明显改善,这使人们有理由相信其未来可能会恢复更强劲的现金转换。如果确实如此,股东应寻求在本年度的现金流相对于利润的改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of China Sports Industry Group.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对中国体育产业集团的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On China Sports Industry Group's Profit Performance

我们对中国体育产业集团利润表现的看法

China Sports Industry Group's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that China Sports Industry Group's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about China Sports Industry Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for China Sports Industry Group and you'll want to know about them.

中国体育产业集团过去十二个月的应计比率表明现金转换率不理想,就我们对收益的看法而言,这是负数。因此,我们认为可能是中国体育产业集团的法定利润要好于其基础盈利能力。但好消息是,其在过去三年中的每股收益增长非常令人印象深刻。本文的目标是评估我们在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多需要考虑的地方。如果您想进一步了解中国体育产业集团作为一家企业,请务必了解其面临的任何风险。你可能会有兴趣知道,我们发现了中国体育产业集团的两个警告标志,你会想知道的。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of China Sports Industry Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

这份报告只研究了揭示中国体育产业集团利润性质的单一因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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