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Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope's (SHSE:688212) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope's (SHSE:688212) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

上海奥华光电内窥镜(上海证券交易所代码:688212)的利润可能不会显示潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 18:41

Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688212) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.

上海奥华光电内窥镜有限公司's(上海证券交易所代码:688212)健康的利润数字并没有让投资者感到意外。但是,法定利润数字并不能说明全部情况,我们发现了一些可能引起股东关注的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688212 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SHSE: 688212 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 6 日

Zooming In On Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope's Earnings

放大上海奥华光电内窥镜的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用于衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的效果的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以公司在此期间的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope has an accrual ratio of 0.29 for the year to March 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥44.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥200m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥200m, this year, indicates high risk. Importantly, we note an unusual tax situation, which we discuss below, has impacted the accruals ratio. This would partially explain why the accrual ratio was so poor.

截至2024年3月的一年中,上海奥华光电内窥镜的应计比率为0.29。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远少于其法定利润,这使我们怀疑利润作为指导的效用。尽管该公司公布了4,410万元人民币的利润,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了2亿元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年2亿元人民币的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。重要的是,我们注意到一种不寻常的税收情况影响了应计比率,下文将对此进行讨论。这将部分解释应计比率为何如此之差。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不寻常的税收状况

In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope received a tax benefit of CN¥8.3m. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. We're sure the company was pleased with its tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

除了显著的应计比率外,我们可以看到上海奥华光电内窥镜获得了830万元人民币的税收优惠。当公司由纳税人支付工资而不是向纳税人付款时,总是有点值得注意的。我们确信该公司对其税收优惠感到满意。但是,细节上的问题在于,此类福利仅在预订当年有影响,而且本质上通常是一次性的。假设每年都不重复享受税收优惠,在其他条件相同的情况下,我们可能会看到其盈利能力明显下降。因此,尽管我们认为获得税收优惠是件好事,但这确实意味着法定利润夸大了企业可持续盈利能力的风险增加。

Our Take On Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope's Profit Performance

我们对上海奥华光电内窥镜盈利表现的看法

This year, Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope couldn't match its profit with cashflow. If the tax benefit is not repeated, then profit would drop next year, all else being equal. Considering all this we'd argue Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope you should know about.

今年,上海奥华光电内窥镜无法将利润与现金流相提并论。如果不重复享受税收优惠,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,明年的利润将下降。考虑到所有这些,我们认为上海奥华光电内窥镜的利润可能给人一种对其可持续盈利水平的过于宽松的印象。如果您想进一步了解上海奥华光电内窥镜作为一家企业,请务必了解其面临的任何风险。每家公司都有风险,我们发现了你应该知道的上海奥华光电内窥镜的一个警告信号。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,我们采取了谨慎的态度。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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