share_log

We Think Jiayou International LogisticsLtd (SHSE:603871) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Jiayou International LogisticsLtd (SHSE:603871) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为佳友国际物流有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:603871)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 18:55

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Jiayou International Logistics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603871) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。重要的是,佳友国际物流有限公司, Ltd(SHSE: 603871)确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's Debt?

佳友国际物流有限公司的债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Jiayou International LogisticsLtd had debt of CN¥126.3m, up from none in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.71b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.58b net cash position.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年3月,佳友国际物流有限公司的债务为1.263亿元人民币,高于一年内的零债务。但另一方面,它也有17.1亿元人民币的现金,净现金状况为15.8亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603871 Debt to Equity History May 6th 2024
SHSE: 603871 债券与股本的比率记录 2024 年 5 月 6 日

How Strong Is Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's Balance Sheet?

佳友国际物流有限公司的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jiayou International LogisticsLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.48b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥48.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.71b and CN¥534.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥709.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,佳友国际物流有限公司的负债为14.8亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为4,820万元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的17.1亿元现金和价值5.345亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出7.092亿元人民币 负债。

This surplus suggests that Jiayou International LogisticsLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Jiayou International LogisticsLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种盈余表明,佳友国际物流有限公司的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,佳友国际物流有限公司拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Jiayou International LogisticsLtd has boosted its EBIT by 47%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

除此之外,我们很高兴地向大家报告,佳友国际物流有限公司已将其息税前利润提高了47%,从而减少了对未来债务偿还的担忧。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定佳友国际物流有限公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Jiayou International LogisticsLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Jiayou International LogisticsLtd reported free cash flow worth 17% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。Jiayou International LogisticsLtd的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去的三年中,佳友国际物流有限公司报告的自由现金流占其息税前利润的17%,确实很低。这种低迷的现金转换水平削弱了其管理和偿还债务的能力。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Jiayou International LogisticsLtd has CN¥1.58b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 47% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Jiayou International LogisticsLtd .

尽管调查公司的债务始终是明智之举,但在本案中,佳友国际物流有限公司的净现金为15.8亿元人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。我们喜欢去年息税前利润同比增长47%的样子。那么,佳友国际物流有限公司的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,你应该注意我们在佳友国际物流有限公司发现的1个警告标志。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发