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Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd's (SHSE:600127) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd's (SHSE:600127) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

金健谷物工业有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:600127)的稳健收益可能建立在薄弱的基础上
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 18:50

The recent earnings posted by Jinjian Cereals Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600127) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

金健米业(SHSE:600127)最近发布的收益表现稳健,但是股票的移动程度并不如我们所预期的那样。我们认为这是由于投资者看到了更多超过法定利润的内容并对此感到担忧。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600127 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SHSE:600127的收益和营收历史(2024年5月6日)

A Closer Look At Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd's Earnings

对金健米业(SHSE:600127)收益的更深入解析

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一项关键财务比率是应计比率。简单地说,这个比率将FCF从净利润中减去,然后除以该公司在该期间的平均运营资产。您可以将从现金流中得出的应计比率视为“非FCF利润比率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,当一家公司的应计比率为负时,实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高时会导致获利或获利增长较低。

Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd has an accrual ratio of -0.12 for the year to March 2024. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥187m, well over the CN¥20.7m it reported in profit. Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

金健米业(SHSE:600127)在2024年3月的一年中的应计比率为-0.12。这意味着它具有良好的现金转换能力,并暗示其自由现金流去年明显超过其利润。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告了1.87亿元人民币的自由现金流,远远超过了2070万元人民币的利润。金健米业的股东们无疑对过去十二个月的自由现金流的改善感到满意。话虽如此,这个应计比率反映了非常规项目对法定利润的影响,至少部分反映了这一点。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。单击此处以进行金健米业的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

Surprisingly, given Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥13m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to March 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

令人惊讶的是,鉴于金健米业(SHSE: 600127)的应计比率暗示着强劲的现金转换,其纸面利润实际上是由非常规项目提升了1300万元人民币。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当非常规项目对利润造成重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,发现重大的非常规项目通常不会重复出现。毕竟这正是会计术语所暗示的。与2024年3月的利润相比,金健米业的非常规项目贡献相当大。其他条件相等的情况下,这可能会导致法定利润成为了基础盈利能力的糟糕指南。

Our Take On Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd's Profit Performance

我们对金健米业(SHSE:600127)的盈利表现的看法

Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Having considered these factors, we don't think Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of these bad boys is a bit unpleasant.

金健米业(SHSE: 600127)的利润得到了非常规项目的提升,这表明它们可能无法持续,但其应计比率仍然表明了强劲的现金转换,这是有希望的。在考虑了这些因素之后,我们认为金健米业(SHSE: 600127)的法定利润并没有过多地影响业务。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意的是所涉及的风险。例如,我们已发现金健米业(SHSE:600127)的2个警告信号,您需要注意其中1个不良因素。

Our examination of Jinjian Cereals IndustryLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对金健米业(SHSE:600127)的研究侧重于某些因素,这些因素可以使其收益看起来比实际情况更好。但是如果您能够专注于细节,总有更多的发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是良好的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟随资金”,寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。因此,您可能希望查看此免费拥有高股本回报率的公司系列或此股票内部人士正在购买的列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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