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Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603567) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603567) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

黑龙江正必达药业有限公司's(SHSE: 603567)股票飙升但财务状况似乎前后矛盾:上涨趋势会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/09 20:02

Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:603567) stock is up by a considerable 15% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical's ROE.

黑龙江振兴药业(上海证券交易所代码:603567)的股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了15%。但是,我们决定关注公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并未给公司的财务状况提供明确的信号。在这篇文章中,我们决定重点关注黑龙江正必达药业的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

ROE或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得的投资中获得回报的有用工具。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股权资本的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical is:

因此,根据上述公式,黑龙江中必达药业的投资回报率为:

6.1% = CN¥506m ÷ CN¥8.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

6.1% = 5.06亿元人民币 ÷ 83亿元人民币(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.06.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。因此,这意味着公司每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.06元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical's Earnings Growth And 6.1% ROE

黑龙江正必达药业的收益增长和6.1%的投资回报率

On the face of it, Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical's ROE is not much to talk about. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 7.7% either. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 2.9% seen by Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

从表面上看,黑龙江正必达药业的投资回报率没什么好谈的。一项快速的进一步研究表明,该公司的投资回报率与行业平均水平的7.7%相比也并不理想。在这种情况下,黑龙江中必达药业在过去五年中净收入大幅下降了2.9%,这并不奇怪。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的盈利前景产生负面影响。例如-收益保留率低或资本配置不佳。

That being said, we compared Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 9.2% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将黑龙江中必达药业的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在5年同期的收益增长率为9.2%时,我们对此感到担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603567 Past Earnings Growth May 10th 2024
SHSE: 603567 过去的收益增长 2024 年 5 月 10 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。与其他公司相比,黑龙江正必达药业的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

黑龙江中必达药业是否在有效使用其留存收益?

When we piece together Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical's low three-year median payout ratio of 21% (where it is retaining 79% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.

当我们计算出黑龙江ZBD Pharmical过去三年来最低的三年派息率中位数21%(保留了79%的利润)时,我们对缺乏增长感到困惑。当公司保留大部分收益时,通常不应出现这种情况。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

Moreover, Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical has been paying dividends for eight years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,黑龙江ZBD Pharmaceutical已经派发股息八年了,这是相当长的时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到,尽管收益一直在萎缩,但股东更喜欢持续的分红。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 1 risk we have identified for Heilongjiang ZBD Pharmaceutical visit our risks dashboard for free.

总的来说,我们认为黑龙江正必达药业所表现出的表现可以有多种解读。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。要了解我们为黑龙江中必达制药确定的1种风险,请免费访问我们的风险仪表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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