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China Railway Special Cargo Logistics Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:001213) Has Had A Decent Run On The Stock Market: Are Fundamentals In The Driver's Seat?

China Railway Special Cargo Logistics Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:001213) Has Had A Decent Run On The Stock Market: Are Fundamentals In The Driver's Seat?

中铁特货物流有限公司's(SZSE:001213)股市表现不错:基本面处于主导地位吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/10 19:47

China Railway Special Cargo Logistics' (SZSE:001213) stock up by 9.5% over the past three months. As most would know, long-term fundamentals have a strong correlation with market price movements, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Specifically, we decided to study China Railway Special Cargo Logistics' ROE in this article.

中铁特货物流(深圳证券交易所:001213)的库存在过去三个月中上涨了9.5%。正如大多数人所知道的那样,长期基本面与市场价格走势有很强的相关性,因此我们决定今天查看该公司的关键财务指标,以确定它们在近期的价格走势中是否可以发挥任何作用。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究中国铁路特种货物物流的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Railway Special Cargo Logistics is:

因此,根据上述公式,中铁特种货物物流的投资回报率为:

4.0% = CN¥754m ÷ CN¥19b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

4.0% = 7.54亿元人民币 ÷ 190亿元人民币(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.04 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的利润。将其概念化的一种方法是,公司每拥有1元人民币的股东资本,就能获得0.04元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

China Railway Special Cargo Logistics' Earnings Growth And 4.0% ROE

中国铁路特种货运物流的收益增长和4.0%的投资回报率

As you can see, China Railway Special Cargo Logistics' ROE looks pretty weak. Further, we noted that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 4.2%. So we are actually pleased to see that China Railway Special Cargo Logistics' net income grew at an acceptable rate of 11% over the last five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play that are influencing the company's growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

如你所见,中铁特货物流的投资回报率看起来相当疲软。此外,我们注意到该公司的投资回报率与行业平均水平的4.2%相似。因此,我们实际上很高兴看到中铁特货物流的净收入在过去五年中以可接受的11%的速度增长。我们认为,可能还有其他因素在影响公司的增长。例如,公司的管理层可能做出了一些良好的战略决策,或者公司的派息率很低。

When you consider the fact that the industry earnings have shrunk at a rate of 2.9% in the same 5-year period, the company's net income growth is pretty remarkable.

考虑到该行业收益在同期5年内以2.9%的速度萎缩这一事实,该公司的净收入增长非常显著。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:001213 Past Earnings Growth May 10th 2024
SZSE: 001213 过去的收益增长 2024 年 5 月 10 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about China Railway Special Cargo Logistics''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水,还是沼泽的水域在等着你。如果你想知道中铁特货物流的估值,可以看看这个衡量其与行业相比的市盈率指标。

Is China Railway Special Cargo Logistics Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中国铁路特种货物物流是否在有效利用其利润?

China Railway Special Cargo Logistics has a three-year median payout ratio of 34%, which implies that it retains the remaining 66% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

中铁特货物流的三年中位数派息率为34%,这意味着它保留了剩余的66%的利润。这表明其股息覆盖范围良好,鉴于该公司的可观增长,管理层似乎正在有效地对其收益进行再投资。

While China Railway Special Cargo Logistics has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend.

尽管中铁特货物流一直在增长其收益,但它直到最近才开始派发股息,这可能意味着该公司决定通过分红来打动新老股东。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we do feel that China Railway Special Cargo Logistics has some positive attributes. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for China Railway Special Cargo Logistics.

总的来说,我们确实认为中铁特货物流具有一些积极的属性。尽管投资回报率很低,但由于再投资率很高,该公司的收益实现了可观的增长。虽然我们不会完全解散公司,但我们要做的是努力确定业务的风险,以便在公司周围做出更明智的决定。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为中铁特种货物物流确定的第一种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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