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Hangzhou Kelin Electric Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688611) Stock Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Weak: What Implications Could This Have On The Stock?

Hangzhou Kelin Electric Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688611) Stock Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Weak: What Implications Could This Have On The Stock?

杭州科林电气有限公司s(SHSE: 688611)股票走强但基本面看起来疲软:这会对股票产生什么影响?
Simply Wall St ·  05/10 19:49

Most readers would already be aware that Hangzhou Kelin Electric's (SHSE:688611) stock increased significantly by 79% over the past three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Hangzhou Kelin Electric's ROE in this article.

大多数读者已经意识到,杭州科林电气(上海证券交易所代码:688611)的股票在过去三个月中大幅增长了79%。但是,在本文中,我们决定重点关注其疲软的基本面,因为企业的长期财务表现是最终决定市场业绩的因素。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究杭州科林电气的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

ROE或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得的投资中获得回报的有用工具。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股权资本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hangzhou Kelin Electric is:

因此,根据上述公式,杭州科林电气的投资回报率为:

4.5% = CN¥39m ÷ CN¥848m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

4.5% = 3900万元人民币 ÷ 8.48亿元人民币(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。另一种思考方式是,公司每拥有价值1元人民币的股权,就能获得0.05元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Hangzhou Kelin Electric's Earnings Growth And 4.5% ROE

杭州科林电气的收益增长和4.5%的投资回报率的并排比较

It is quite clear that Hangzhou Kelin Electric's ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.9%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 22% seen by Hangzhou Kelin Electric was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

很明显,杭州科林电气的投资回报率相当低。不仅如此,即使与6.9%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不引人注目。因此,说杭州科林电气五年净收入下降22%可能是其投资回报率降低的结果,这可能没有错。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的盈利前景产生负面影响。例如,该企业的资本分配不佳,或者该公司的派息率非常高。

So, as a next step, we compared Hangzhou Kelin Electric's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 12% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我们将杭州科林电气的表现与行业的表现进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但该行业在过去几年中一直以12%的速度增长收益。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688611 Past Earnings Growth May 10th 2024
SHSE: 688611 过去的收益增长 2024 年 5 月 10 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Hangzhou Kelin Electric's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。如果你想知道杭州科林电气的估值,可以看看这个衡量其市盈率与行业相比的指标。

Is Hangzhou Kelin Electric Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

杭州科林电气是否有效地将利润再投资?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 57% (implying that 43% of the profits are retained), most of Hangzhou Kelin Electric's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. You can see the 5 risks we have identified for Hangzhou Kelin Electric by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

杭州科林电气的三年中位数派息率很高,为57%(这意味着保留了43%的利润),大部分利润都支付给了股东,这解释了该公司收益萎缩的原因。该企业只剩下少量资金可供再投资——从长远来看,这种恶性循环对公司没有好处。您可以访问我们的 5 种风险来查看我们为杭州科林电气确定的五种风险 风险仪表板 在我们的平台上免费使用。

In addition, Hangzhou Kelin Electric only recently started paying a dividend so the management probably decided the shareholders prefer dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,杭州科林电气直到最近才开始派发股息,因此,尽管收益一直在萎缩,但管理层可能还是决定股东更喜欢分红。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Hangzhou Kelin Electric. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. To gain further insights into Hangzhou Kelin Electric's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

总体而言,在就杭州科林电气做出任何决定之前,我们将非常谨慎。由于投资回报率低且缺乏对该业务的再投资,该公司的收益增长率令人失望。到目前为止,我们仅就公司的收益增长进行了简短的讨论。要进一步了解杭州科林电气过去的利润增长,请查看这份过去收益、收入和现金流的可视化图表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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