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Is Greentown Service Group (HKG:2869) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Greentown Service Group (HKG:2869) Using Too Much Debt?

绿城服务集团(HKG: 2869)是否使用过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  05/20 23:16

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. (HKG:2869) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到绿城服务集团有限公司有限公司(HKG: 2869)确实在其业务中使用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的重要组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业将被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Greentown Service Group's Net Debt?

绿城服务集团的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Greentown Service Group had debt of CN¥313.5m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from CN¥333.6m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥5.69b in cash, so it actually has CN¥5.38b net cash.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年12月底,绿城服务集团的债务为3.135亿元人民币,较一年内的3.336亿加元有所减少。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有56.9亿元人民币的现金,因此实际净现金为53.8亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2869 Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024
SEHK: 2869 2024 年 5 月 21 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Greentown Service Group's Balance Sheet?

绿城服务集团的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Greentown Service Group had liabilities of CN¥8.56b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.30b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥5.69b in cash and CN¥4.35b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,绿城服务集团的负债为85.6亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为13.0亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有56.9亿元的现金和43.5亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,这些流动资产与总负债大致相当。

Having regard to Greentown Service Group's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥13.8b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Greentown Service Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

考虑到绿城服务集团的规模,其流动资产与总负债的平衡似乎良好。因此,这家138亿元人民币的公司现金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得关注资产负债表。简而言之,绿城服务集团的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

Also good is that Greentown Service Group grew its EBIT at 16% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Greentown Service Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同样不错的是,绿城服务集团的息税前利润比去年增长了16%,进一步提高了其管理债务的能力。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定绿城服务集团能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Greentown Service Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Greentown Service Group recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。绿城服务集团资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在最近三年中,绿城服务集团记录的自由现金流占其息税前利润的68%,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这几乎是正常的。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Greentown Service Group has net cash of CN¥5.38b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 68% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥933m. So is Greentown Service Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Greentown Service Group you should know about.

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,绿城服务集团的净现金为53.8亿元人民币,流动资产比负债还多。最重要的是,它将息税前利润的68%转换为自由现金流,带来了9.33亿元人民币的收入。那么绿城服务集团的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了一个你应该知道的绿城服务集团的警告标志。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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