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We Think Foryou (SZSE:002906) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Foryou (SZSE:002906) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Foryou(深圳证券交易所:002906)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  05/20 23:34

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Foryou Corporation (SZSE:002906) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,Foryou公司(深圳证券交易所:002906)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来轻松履行债务和其他负债时,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Foryou's Net Debt?

什么是Foryou的净负债?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Foryou had CN¥66.3m of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥173.6m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.51b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.44b net cash position.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示Foryou在2024年3月有6630万加元的债务,低于一年前的1.736亿加元。但另一方面,它也有151亿元人民币的现金,净现金状况为14.4亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002906 Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024
SZSE: 002906 2024 年 5 月 21 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Foryou's Balance Sheet?

Foryou的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Foryou had liabilities of CN¥3.37b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥282.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.51b and CN¥3.83b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.67b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,Foryou的负债为33.7亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为2.828亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为151亿元人民币和价值38.3亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出16.7亿元人民币 负债。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Foryou could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Foryou has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种短期流动性表明,Foryou可能会轻松偿还债务,因为其资产负债表远未紧张。简而言之,Foryou的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

On top of that, Foryou grew its EBIT by 64% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Foryou can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

最重要的是,Foryou在过去十二个月中将其息税前利润增长了64%,这种增长将使其更容易处理债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定Foryou能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Foryou has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Foryou recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。尽管Foryou的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将利息和税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,Foryou的自由现金流总额为负数。债务通常更昂贵,而且对于自由现金流为负的公司来说,风险几乎总是更大。股东们应该希望有所改善。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Foryou has net cash of CN¥1.44b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And we liked the look of last year's 64% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Foryou's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Foryou , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,Foryou的净现金为14.4亿元人民币,流动资产比负债还多。我们喜欢去年息税前利润同比增长64%的样子。因此,我们认为Foryou使用债务没有风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。我们已经向Foryou确定了两个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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