Shanghai Chengtou Holding Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600649) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 47% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 21% is also fairly reasonable.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 33x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing earnings at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this good earnings growth might only be parallel to the broader market in the near future. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Is There Some Growth For Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd?

Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.3%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 59% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 38% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd's P/E?

Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd (2 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.