share_log

We Think Chengdu Xuguang Electronics (SHSE:600353) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Chengdu Xuguang Electronics (SHSE:600353) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为成都旭光电子(上海证券交易所代码:600353)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  05/21 02:49

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Chengdu Xuguang Electronics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600353) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。与许多其他公司一样,成都旭光电子有限公司(SHSE: 600353)也使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以用新资本或自由现金流还清债务。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代了具有高回报率再投资能力的公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Chengdu Xuguang Electronics Carry?

成都旭光电子背负了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Chengdu Xuguang Electronics had debt of CN¥307.4m, up from CN¥253.2m in one year. However, it also had CN¥300.0m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥7.46m.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年3月,成都旭光电子的债务为3.074亿元人民币,高于一年的2.532亿元人民币。但是,它也有3亿元的现金,因此其净负债为746万元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600353 Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024
SHSE: 600353 2024 年 5 月 21 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Chengdu Xuguang Electronics' Balance Sheet?

成都旭光电子的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Chengdu Xuguang Electronics had liabilities of CN¥876.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥263.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥300.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.25b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥410.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,成都旭光电子在12个月内到期的负债为8.763亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为2.636亿元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有3亿元人民币的现金以及价值12.5亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出4.105亿元人民币 负债。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Chengdu Xuguang Electronics could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. But either way, Chengdu Xuguang Electronics has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种短期流动性表明,成都旭光电子可能会轻松偿还债务,因为其资产负债表远未捉襟见肘。但不管怎样,成都旭光电子几乎没有净负债,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

With debt at a measly 0.042 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 17.0 times, it's clear that Chengdu Xuguang Electronics is not a desperate borrower. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Chengdu Xuguang Electronics has boosted its EBIT by 45%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Chengdu Xuguang Electronics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

债务仅为息税折旧摊销前利润的0.042倍,息税前利润覆盖利息高达17.0倍,很明显,成都旭光电子并不是一个绝望的借款人。事实上,相对于其收益,其债务负担似乎轻如鸿毛。除此之外,我们很高兴地向大家报告,成都旭光电子已将其息税前利润提高了45%,从而减少了对未来债务偿还的担忧。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益将决定成都旭光电子未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Chengdu Xuguang Electronics saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,我们总是检查息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,成都旭光电子的自由现金流总额为负数。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

The good news is that Chengdu Xuguang Electronics's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Chengdu Xuguang Electronics takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Chengdu Xuguang Electronics, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

好消息是,成都旭光电子表现出的用息税前利润支付利息支出的能力使我们感到高兴,就像毛茸茸的小狗对待幼儿一样。但严峻的事实是,我们对其将息税前利润转换为自由现金流感到担忧。考虑到所有这些数据,在我们看来,成都旭光电子对债务采取了相当明智的态度。尽管这带来了一些风险,但也可以提高股东的回报。随着时间的推移,股价往往遵循每股收益,因此,如果你对成都旭光电子感兴趣,你很可能想点击这里查看其每股收益历史的互动图表。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发