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Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals (SHSE:600078) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals (SHSE:600078) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

江苏成兴磷化工(上海证券交易所股票代码:600078)正在适度使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  05/21 03:27

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600078) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,江苏成兴磷化工有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:600078)确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals Carry?

江苏成兴磷化工背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals had CN¥1.56b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥1.74b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥586.1m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥974.5m.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示江苏成兴磷化工在2024年3月有15.6亿元人民币的债务,低于一年前的17.4亿元人民币。但是,由于其现金储备为5.861亿元人民币,其净负债较少,约为9.745亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600078 Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024
SHSE: 600078 2024 年 5 月 21 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals' Liabilities

看看江苏成兴磷化工的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals had liabilities of CN¥1.65b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.52b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥586.1m as well as receivables valued at CN¥820.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.76b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,江苏成兴磷化工在12个月内到期的负债为16.5亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为152亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有5.861亿元的现金以及价值8.209亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出17.6亿元人民币。

Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals has a market capitalization of CN¥5.41b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

江苏成兴磷化工的市值为541亿元人民币,因此,如果有需要,它很可能会筹集资金以改善其资产负债表。但是,我们绝对希望留意其债务带来过大风险的迹象。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是江苏成兴磷化工的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

Over 12 months, Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥3.0b, which is a fall of 30%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在过去的12个月中,江苏成兴磷化工在息税前利润水平上出现亏损,收入下降至30亿元人民币,下降了30%。至少可以说,这让我们感到紧张。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥19m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥88m. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals you should know about.

尽管江苏成兴磷化工收入的下降像湿毯一样令人心动,但可以说,其息税前收益(EBIT)亏损的吸引力更小。具体而言,息税前利润亏损为1900万元人民币。考虑到这一点,除了上述负债外,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大的信心。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非匹配,尽管可以随着时间的推移而改善。例如,我们不希望看到去年8,800万元人民币的亏损重演。同时,我们认为该股风险很大。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了一个你应该知道的江苏成兴磷化工的警告标志。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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