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Is GoodWe Technologies (SHSE:688390) Using Too Much Debt?

Is GoodWe Technologies (SHSE:688390) Using Too Much Debt?

GoodWe Technologies(上海证券交易所代码:688390)是否使用了过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  05/22 19:21

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that GoodWe Technologies Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688390) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,固德威科技有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:688390)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:债务创造了多大的风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is GoodWe Technologies's Debt?

GoodWe Technologies的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 GoodWe Technologies had CN¥295.4m of debt, an increase on CN¥60.1m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥906.9m in cash, so it actually has CN¥611.5m net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,GoodWe Technologies在一年内有2.954亿元人民币的债务,比6,010万加元人民币有所增加。但是,其资产负债表显示它持有9.069亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有6.115亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688390 Debt to Equity History May 22nd 2024
SHSE: 688390 2024 年 5 月 22 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is GoodWe Technologies' Balance Sheet?

GoodWe Technologies的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that GoodWe Technologies had liabilities of CN¥3.21b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥515.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥906.9m in cash and CN¥992.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.83b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,GoodWe Technologies的负债为32.1亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为5.154亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有9.069亿元的现金和9.924亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出18.3亿元人民币。

Since publicly traded GoodWe Technologies shares are worth a total of CN¥18.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, GoodWe Technologies boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

由于公开交易的GoodWe Technologies股票总价值为187亿元人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。尽管负债值得关注,但GoodWe Technologies拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for GoodWe Technologies if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 54% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if GoodWe Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

如果管理层无法阻止去年削减54%的息税前利润的做法,那么其适度的债务负担对GoodWe Technologies来说可能变得至关重要。当一家公司看到盈利下降时,它有时会发现与贷款机构的关系恶化。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定GoodWe Technologies能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While GoodWe Technologies has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, GoodWe Technologies reported free cash flow worth 2.6% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。尽管GoodWe Technologies的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去三年中,GoodWe Technologies公布的自由现金流占其息税前利润的2.6%,确实很低。这种低迷的现金转换水平削弱了其管理和偿还债务的能力。

Summing Up

总结

We could understand if investors are concerned about GoodWe Technologies's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥611.5m. So while GoodWe Technologies does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for GoodWe Technologies (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

我们可以理解投资者是否担心GoodWe Technologies的负债,但它的净现金为6.115亿元人民币,这一事实可以让我们放心。因此,尽管GoodWe Technologies的资产负债表不佳,但肯定还不错。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了 GoodWe Technologies 的 3 个警告信号(其中 1 个不容忽视!)你应该知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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