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Zhejiang Medicine (SHSE:600216) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Zhejiang Medicine (SHSE:600216) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

浙江医药(SHSE: 600216)在使用债务方面承担了一些风险
Simply Wall St ·  05/22 20:22

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Zhejiang Medicine Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600216) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,浙江医药股份有限公司(SHSE: 600216)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Zhejiang Medicine's Net Debt?

浙医的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Zhejiang Medicine had debt of CN¥851.2m, up from CN¥801.2m in one year. However, it does have CN¥1.87b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.02b.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年3月,浙江医药的债务为8.512亿元人民币,高于一年内的8.012亿元人民币。但是,它确实有18.7亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为10.2亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600216 Debt to Equity History May 23rd 2024
SHSE: 600216 2024 年 5 月 23 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Zhejiang Medicine's Balance Sheet?

浙医的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhejiang Medicine had liabilities of CN¥2.39b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥458.2m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.87b and CN¥1.79b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥821.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,浙江医药的负债为23.9亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为4.582亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为18.7亿元人民币,还有价值17.9亿元人民币的应收账款。所以它实际上有8.214亿元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

This surplus suggests that Zhejiang Medicine has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Zhejiang Medicine has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种盈余表明浙医的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,浙江医药的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

Shareholders should be aware that Zhejiang Medicine's EBIT was down 98% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhejiang Medicine can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

股东应该意识到,浙江医药去年的息税前利润下降了98%。如果这种下降持续下去,那么偿还债务将比在素食大会上出售鹅肝更难。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定浙医能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Zhejiang Medicine may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Zhejiang Medicine burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。浙江医药的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的效果仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去的三年中,浙医烧掉了大量现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zhejiang Medicine has net cash of CN¥1.02b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. Despite the cash, we do find Zhejiang Medicine's EBIT growth rate concerning, so we're not particularly comfortable with the stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Zhejiang Medicine .

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,浙医的净现金为10.2亿元人民币,流动资产比负债还多。尽管有现金,但我们确实认为浙药的息税前利润增长率令人担忧,因此我们对该股并不特别满意。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,你应该注意我们在浙医中发现的两个警告信号。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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