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JINHUI LIQUOR Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603919) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

JINHUI LIQUOR Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603919) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

金辉酒业有限公司, Ltd. (SHSE: 603919) 股票一直在下滑但基本面看起来不错:未来市场会修正股价吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/23 18:36

It is hard to get excited after looking at JINHUI LIQUORLtd's (SHSE:603919) recent performance, when its stock has declined 3.3% over the past week. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study JINHUI LIQUORLtd's ROE in this article.

看了金辉酒业有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:603919)最近的表现,很难感到兴奋,当时其股价在过去一周下跌了3.3%。但是,如果你密切关注,你可能会发现其关键财务指标看起来相当不错,考虑到市场通常会奖励更具弹性的长期基本面,这可能意味着该股有可能在长期内上涨。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究金辉酒业有限公司的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。换句话说,它是衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for JINHUI LIQUORLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,金辉酒业有限公司的投资回报率为:

10% = CN¥361m ÷ CN¥3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

10% = 3.61亿元人民币 ÷ 35亿元人民币(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.10 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。另一种看法是,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就能获得0.10元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

JINHUI LIQUORLtd's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

金辉酒业有限公司的收益增长和10%的投资回报率

On the face of it, JINHUI LIQUORLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 16%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Although, we can see that JINHUI LIQUORLtd saw a modest net income growth of 6.1% over the past five years. So, the growth in the company's earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

从表面上看,金辉酒业有限公司的投资回报率没什么好谈的。接下来,与16%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率使我们感到不那么热情。但是,我们可以看到,在过去五年中,金辉酒业有限公司的净收入温和增长了6.1%。因此,公司收益的增长可能是由其他变量造成的。例如,该公司的派息率很低或管理得很高效。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that JINHUI LIQUORLtd's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 15% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下来,与行业净收入增长相比,我们发现金辉酒业有限公司报告的增长低于过去几年15%的行业增长,这不是我们希望看到的。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603919 Past Earnings Growth May 23rd 2024
SHSE: 603919 过去的收益增长 2024 年 5 月 23 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 603919 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。603919 的估值是否合理?这张关于公司内在价值的信息图包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is JINHUI LIQUORLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

金辉酒业有限公司是否在有效使用其留存收益?

JINHUI LIQUORLtd has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 38% (or a retention ratio of 62%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

JINHUI LiquorLtd的三年派息率中位数为38%(或62%的留存率),再加上我们在上面看到的可观的收益增长,这意味着该公司一直在有效利用其利润。

Besides, JINHUI LIQUORLtd has been paying dividends over a period of seven years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 52% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for JINHUI LIQUORLtd is speculated to rise to 14% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

此外,金辉酒业有限公司已经在七年内派发了股息。这表明该公司致力于与股东分享利润。我们最新的分析师数据显示,该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内上升至52%。无论如何,尽管预计派息率将增加,但预计金辉酒业有限公司的未来投资回报率仍将上升至14%。可能还有其他因素可能推动投资回报率的未来增长。

Conclusion

结论

In total, it does look like JINHUI LIQUORLtd has some positive aspects to its business. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,金辉酒业有限公司的业务看起来确实有一些积极的方面。也就是说,在高再投资率的支持下,收益的体面增长。但是,我们确实认为,如果业务在较低的投资回报率基础上有所改善,收益增长本来可以更高。特别是考虑到该公司正在将很大一部分利润再投资。话虽如此,从分析师目前的估计来看,我们发现该公司的收益有望增强。要详细了解分析师对公司的最新预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测的可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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