Hunan Corun New Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600478) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 38% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Hunan Corun New Energy's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Electrical industry is similar at about 2.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
SHSE:600478 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 23rd 2024
How Hunan Corun New Energy Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Hunan Corun New Energy's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hunan Corun New Energy, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Hunan Corun New Energy's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Hunan Corun New Energy's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 27% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Hunan Corun New Energy's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Hunan Corun New Energy's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Hunan Corun New Energy revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Hunan Corun New Energy with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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