share_log

China CAMC Engineering (SZSE:002051) Stock Falls 5.6% in Past Week as Five-year Earnings and Shareholder Returns Continue Downward Trend

China CAMC Engineering (SZSE:002051) Stock Falls 5.6% in Past Week as Five-year Earnings and Shareholder Returns Continue Downward Trend

由于五年收益和股东回报率持续下降趋势,中国华菱工程(SZSE:002051)股价在过去一周下跌了5.6%
Simply Wall St ·  05/23 20:45

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term China CAMC Engineering Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002051) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 32% over a half decade. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 31%. On top of that, the share price is down 5.6% in the last week.

理想情况下,您的整体投资组合应超过市场平均水平。但是,几乎每个投资者都肯定会有表现过硬和表现不佳的股票。因此,我们不会责怪中国华菱工程有限公司(SZSE:002051)的长期股东对他们的持股决定表示怀疑,该股在五年内下跌了32%。我们还注意到,该股去年表现不佳,股价下跌了31%。最重要的是,上周股价下跌了5.6%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鉴于过去一周对股东来说很艰难,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, China CAMC Engineering moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

在五年的股价增长中,中国CAMC工程从亏损转为盈利。这通常会被视为利好,因此我们惊讶地看到股价下跌。其他指标可能会让我们更好地了解其价值如何随着时间的推移而变化。

We don't think that the 1.6% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. The revenue fall of 0.8% per year for five years is neither good nor terrible. But if the market expected durable top line growth, then that could explain the share price weakness.

我们认为1.6%不是影响股价的重要因素,因为随着股息的增加,它相当小。五年来每年下降0.8%的收入既不好也不糟糕。但是,如果市场预期收入将持续增长,那么这可以解释股价疲软的原因。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002051 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 24th 2024
SZSE: 002051 收益和收入增长 2024 年 5 月 24 日

We know that China CAMC Engineering has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

我们知道中国CAMC工程在过去三年中提高了利润,但是未来会发生什么?您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, China CAMC Engineering's TSR for the last 5 years was -30%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,中国CAMC工程过去5年的股东总回报率为-30%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We regret to report that China CAMC Engineering shareholders are down 30% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 7.4%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China CAMC Engineering better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China CAMC Engineering .

我们遗憾地报告,中国CAMC工程的股东今年下跌了30%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比整个市场7.4%的跌幅还要严重。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中5%的年化亏损还要糟糕。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解中国CAMC工程,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。为此,你应该注意我们在中国CAMC工程公司发现的1个警告信号。

We will like China CAMC Engineering better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些重大的内幕收购,我们会更喜欢中国CAMC工程。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份被低估的股票(主要是小盘股)的免费清单,这些股票最近有大量的内幕买盘。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发