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Is Yingkou Jinchen Machinery (SHSE:603396) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Yingkou Jinchen Machinery (SHSE:603396) Using Too Much Debt?

营口金晨机械(上海证券交易所股票代码:603396)的债务是否过多?
Simply Wall St ·  05/24 19:47

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Yingkou Jinchen Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603396) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样,营口金晨机械有限公司(SHSE: 603396)也使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。尽管这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以低价筹集资金。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does Yingkou Jinchen Machinery Carry?

营口金晨机械背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Yingkou Jinchen Machinery had CN¥661.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥410.0m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥1.24b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥582.5m.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,营口金晨机械在一年内有6.616亿元人民币的债务,比4.1亿元人民币有所增加。但是,它确实有12.4亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为5.825亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603396 Debt to Equity History May 24th 2024
SHSE: 603396 2024 年 5 月 24 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's Balance Sheet?

营口金晨机械的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Yingkou Jinchen Machinery had liabilities of CN¥3.60b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥157.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.24b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.39b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.12b.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,营口金晨机械的负债为36亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为1.576亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有12.4亿元人民币的现金以及价值13.9亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额11.2亿元人民币。

Of course, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery has a market capitalization of CN¥5.80b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

当然,营口金晨机械的市值为580亿元人民币,因此这些负债可能是可以控制的。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。尽管营口金晨机械确实有值得注意的负债,但其现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。

On top of that, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery grew its EBIT by 62% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

最重要的是,营口金晨机械在过去十二个月中将其息税前利润增长了62%,这种增长将使其更容易处理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是营口金晨机械的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Yingkou Jinchen Machinery has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。尽管营口金晨机械的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,营口金晨机械总共出现了可观的负自由现金流。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Summing Up

总结

While Yingkou Jinchen Machinery does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥582.5m. And we liked the look of last year's 62% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Yingkou Jinchen Machinery , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管营口金晨机械的负债确实多于流动资产,但其净现金也为5.825亿元人民币。我们喜欢去年息税前利润同比增长62%的样子。因此,我们对营口金晨机械使用债务没有任何问题。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经向营口金晨机械确定了1个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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