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Is Ferretti S.p.A.'s (HKG:9638) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

Is Ferretti S.p.A.'s (HKG:9638) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

是法拉帝S.p.A吗?”s (HKG: 9638) 近期股票表现受其基本面影响吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/24 21:51

Most readers would already be aware that Ferretti's (HKG:9638) stock increased significantly by 10% over the past month. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Ferretti's ROE today.

大部分读者已经知道,费雷蒂(HKG:9638)的股票在过去一个月内大幅上涨了10%。 股价通常与公司的长期财务表现相关,因此我们决定更仔细地研究其财务指标,以查看它们在最近的价格变动中是否发挥了作用。 特别是,我们将关注费雷蒂今天的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE(净资产收益率)是股东需考虑的一个重要因素,因为它告诉他们资本被有效地再投资的效果如何。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东的投资转化为利润的成功程度。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ferretti is:

那么,根据上述公式,费雷蒂的roe为:

9.9% = €84m ÷ €840m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

9.9% = € 8400万÷€ 84000万(基于截至2023年12月的过去12个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.10 in profit.

“回报”是过去十二个月的利润。其中一种观念是,对于每1港元的股东资本,公司实现了0.10港元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE对于盈利增长的重要性是什么?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到roe是衡量公司盈利能力的一种指标。根据公司再投资或“保留”的这些利润的多少以及效率如何,我们能够评估公司的盈利增长潜力。总体来说,在其他条件相同的情况下,roe和盈利“保留”高的公司比不具备这些属性的公司增长率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Ferretti's Earnings Growth And 9.9% ROE

费雷蒂收益增长率和9.9%的roe并列比较

At first glance, Ferretti's ROE doesn't look very promising. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.6%. Even so, Ferretti has shown a fairly decent growth in its net income which grew at a rate of 19%. Given the slightly low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

乍一看,费雷蒂的roe看起来并不是很有前途。 但更仔细的研究表明,公司的roe与8.6%的行业平均水平相似。尽管如此,费雷蒂的净利润增长率较高,增长率达到19%。 鉴于roe略低,可能存在某些其他方面推动了这种增长,例如,公司的管理层可能已经做出了一些良好的战略决策,或者公司的分红比率较低。

As a next step, we compared Ferretti's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 17% in the same period.

作为下一步,我们将费雷蒂的净收入增长与行业进行比较,并发现公司的增长数据与同期17%的行业平均增长率相似。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:9638 Past Earnings Growth May 25th 2024
SEHK:9638过去的收益增长2024年5月25日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is 9638 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 9638 is currently mispriced by the market.

收益增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。投资者需要判断下一个预计的收益增长,或其缺乏是否已经反映在股价上。然后,这可以帮助他们判断股票是面临光明还是黯淡的未来。9638今天价值多少?我们免费研究报告中的内在价值信息图帮助判断目前市场是否错误定价9638。

Is Ferretti Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

费雷蒂是否有效地再投资利润?

Ferretti has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 26% (or a retention ratio of 74%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

费雷蒂具有在适度的三年中位数分红比率(26%)(或74%的保留比率),同时收益也有不错的增长,这意味着公司一直在有效地利用其利润。

While Ferretti has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 45% over the next three years. However, Ferretti's future ROE is expected to rise to 12% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

虽然费雷蒂一直在增长其收益,但它在最近才开始支付股息,这可能意味着公司决定通过股息来印象新老股东。经过研究最新分析师的共识数据,我们发现,该公司未来的股息支付比率预计将在未来三年内上升至45%。但是,尽管预计公司股息支付率将增加,其未来roe预计将增加至12%。我们推断,可能还有其他因素推动了预期的roe增长。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Ferretti certainly does have some positive factors to consider. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们认为费雷蒂确实有一些要考虑的积极因素。尽管roe较低,但凭借高比例的再投资率,公司成功地实现了利润的可观增长。然而,预计公司的收益增长将放缓,正如当前分析师估计的那样。这些分析师的预期基于行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本情况?单击此处转到我们的分析师预测页。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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