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Is Yihai International Holding Ltd.'s (HKG:1579) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

Is Yihai International Holding Ltd.'s (HKG:1579) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

是艺海国际控股有限公司吗s (HKG: 1579) 近期股票表现与其强劲的基本面息息相关?
Simply Wall St ·  05/24 21:55

Most readers would already be aware that Yihai International Holding's (HKG:1579) stock increased significantly by 43% over the past three months. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Yihai International Holding's ROE in this article.

大多数读者已经意识到,益海国际控股(HKG: 1579)的股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了43%。鉴于该公司的出色表现,我们决定更仔细地研究其财务指标,因为公司的长期财务状况通常决定市场业绩。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究益海国际控股的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Yihai International Holding is:

因此,根据上述公式,怡海国际控股的投资回报率为:

18% = CN¥907m ÷ CN¥5.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

18% = 9.07亿元人民币 ÷ 51亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.18 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的利润。对此进行概念化的一种方法是,该公司每持有1港元的股本,就能获得0.18港元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Yihai International Holding's Earnings Growth And 18% ROE

益海国际控股的收益增长和18%的投资回报率

To start with, Yihai International Holding's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 8.6% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. However, for some reason, the higher returns aren't reflected in Yihai International Holding's meagre five year net income growth average of 4.8%. This is generally not the case as when a company has a high rate of return it should usually also have a high earnings growth rate. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

首先,益海国际控股的投资回报率似乎可以接受。特别是与行业平均水平的8.6%相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当可观。但是,由于某种原因,较高的回报并未反映在益海国际控股的微薄五年净收入平均增长率4.8%上。通常情况并非如此,因为当一家公司的回报率高时,它通常也应该有很高的收益增长率。我们认为,回报率相当高的低增长可能是某些情况造成的,例如收益留存率低或资本配置不善。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Yihai International Holding's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 0.7% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下来,与行业净收入增长相比,我们发现,与同期行业平均增长0.7%相比,益海国际控股的增长相当高,这令人欣喜。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:1579 Past Earnings Growth May 25th 2024
SEHK: 1579 过去的收益增长 2024 年 5 月 25 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is 1579 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。1579 的估值合理吗?这张关于公司内在价值的信息图包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is Yihai International Holding Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

怡海国际控股的留存收益是否得到有效利用?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 29% (implying that the company retains the remaining 71% of its income), Yihai International Holding's earnings growth was quite low. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管益海国际控股的三年派息率中位数为29%(这意味着该公司保留了剩余的71%的收入),但其收益增长还是相当低的。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

In addition, Yihai International Holding has been paying dividends over a period of six years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 71% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

此外,Yihai International Holding在六年内一直在派发股息,这表明即使以牺牲业务增长为代价,继续支付股息对管理层来说也更为重要。从目前的分析师共识数据来看,我们可以看出,该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内升至71%。但是,尽管预期的派息率较高,但该公司的投资回报率预计不会有太大变化。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we are quite pleased with Yihai International Holding's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们对益海国际控股的表现非常满意。特别是,我们喜欢该公司对其业务进行大量再投资,而且回报率很高。毫不奇怪,这带来了令人印象深刻的收益增长。话虽如此,从分析师目前的估计来看,我们发现该公司的收益有望增强。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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