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Be Wary Of Fujian Longking (SHSE:600388) And Its Returns On Capital

Be Wary Of Fujian Longking (SHSE:600388) And Its Returns On Capital

警惕福建龙工(上海证券交易所代码:600388)及其资本回报率
Simply Wall St ·  05/24 22:55

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Fujian Longking (SHSE:600388) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

如果我们想要找到一个潜在的多头投资人,通常有一些潜在的趋势可以提供线索。理想情况下,一个业务将显示两个趋势;首先是资本雇用的增长。最终,这表明这是一个正在以递增的回报率重新投资利润的商业。然而,简要查看数字后,我们认为福建龙净环保(SHSE:600388)不具备未来的多头投资者特质,但让我们看看为什么。资产回报率:它是什么?资本使用率回报(ROCE)是什么?ROCE 趋势可以告诉我们什么?比起 Enphase Energy,有更好的资本回报率选择。在过去的五年中,该公司增加了 1,306% 的资本,而该资本的回报率保持稳定在 9.9%。这样差的回报率现在并不令人信服,而且随着资本的增加,很明显企业并没有将资金投入到高回报的投资中。资本资本雇用的增长。最终,这表明这是一个正在以递增的回报率重新投资利润的公司。但是,在简要查看了数字之后,我们认为福建龙净环保(SHSE:600388)未来不具备成为多头投资者的潜质,但让我们来看看为什么。

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

上面您可以看到蒙托克可再生能源现行ROCE与之前资本回报的比较,但过去只能知道这么多。如果您感兴趣,可以查看我们免费的蒙托克可再生能源分析师报告,了解分析师的预测。

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Fujian Longking:

只要你不确定,ROCE是衡量公司在其业务中投入资本实现的税前收入(以百分比计)的指标。分析师使用这个公式来计算福建龙净环保的ROCE:0.079 = CN ¥1.0b÷(CN¥25b-CN¥12b)。因此,福建龙净环保的ROCE为7.9%。绝对来说,这是一个较低的回报率,但比机械行业平均水平5.8%要好得多。

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

资产雇用回报率(ROCE)是指企业利润,即企业税前利润除以企业投入的总资本(负债加股权)。如果ROCE高于企业财务成本的承受能力,那么企业就会创造出更多的价值。

0.079 = CN¥1.0b ÷ (CN¥25b - CN¥12b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

在Elevance Health上,我们已经注意到的趋势是相当令人放心的。数据显示,过去五年资产回报率大幅提高至15%。投资所用资产的规模也增加了30%。这表明有很多机会进行内部资本投资,并以更高的速度不断增长,这种组合在多倍增长方面很常见。.

Therefore, Fujian Longking has an ROCE of 7.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Machinery industry average of 5.8%.

因此,福建龙净环保的ROCE为7.9%。绝对来说,这是一个较低的回报率,但比机械行业平均水平5.8%要好得多。

roce
SHSE:600388 Return on Capital Employed May 25th 2024
SHSE:600388资本雇用回报率2024年5月25日

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Fujian Longking compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Fujian Longking .

在上面,您可以看到福建龙净环保的当前ROCE如何与其先前的资本回报率进行比较,但是您可以从过去的方面知道不了太多。如果您有兴趣,可以在我们的免费分析师报告中查看分析师的预测结果。

The Trend Of ROCE

当寻找下一个倍增器时,如果您不确定从哪里开始,请关注几个关键趋势。首先,我们希望看到一个经过验证的资本使用率。如果您看到这一点,通常意味着这是一家拥有出色业务模式和大量盈利再投资机会的公司。然而,调查蒙托克可再生能源公司(NASDAQ:MNTK)后,我们认为它的现行趋势不符合倍增器的模式。

The trend of ROCE doesn't look fantastic because it's fallen from 15% five years ago, while the business's capital employed increased by 106%. However, some of the increase in capital employed could be attributed to the recent capital raising that's been completed prior to their latest reporting period, so keep that in mind when looking at the ROCE decrease. Fujian Longking probably hasn't received a full year of earnings yet from the new funds it raised, so these figures should be taken with a grain of salt. Additionally, we found that Fujian Longking's most recent EBIT figure is around the same as the prior year, so we'd attribute the drop in ROCE mostly to the capital raise.

最近的ROCE趋势看起来并不理想,因为它从五年前的15%下降了,而企业的资本雇用增加了106%。然而,资本雇用的增加可能归因于最近一期报告前完成的资本筹集工作,因此在查看ROCE下降时请记住这一点。福建龙净环保可能还没有从筹集到的新资金中获得全年收益,因此这些数据应该持保留态度。此外,我们发现福建龙净环保最近的EBIT数字与去年大致相同,因此我们主要将ROCE的下降归因于资本筹集。

On a related note, Fujian Longking has decreased its current liabilities to 49% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Either way, they're still at a pretty high level, so we'd like to see them fall further if possible.

相关的是,福建龙净环保已将其流动负债减少到总资产的49%。这可能在一定程度上解释了ROCE的下降。此外,这可以降低公司的某些风险,因为现在公司的供应商或短期债权人正在为其运营提供更少的资金。由于该业务基本上是使用其自有资金为其运营提供更多资金,因此可以认为这使得该业务在产生ROCE方面的效率降低了。无论如何,它们仍然处于相当高的水平,因此我们希望如果可能的话它们会进一步下降。

Our Take On Fujian Longking's ROCE

我们对福建龙净环保的ROCE的看法

In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Fujian Longking's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. In spite of that, the stock has delivered a 8.5% return to shareholders who held over the last five years. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.

简而言之,我们对福建龙净环保的资本递增回报率下降有些担忧。尽管如此,该股票为持有过去五年的股东提供了8.5%的回报。无论如何,我们不喜欢目前的趋势,如果这些趋势持续存在,我们认为您可能会在其他地方找到更好的投资。

Like most companies, Fujian Longking does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.

像大多数公司一样,福建龙净环保也存在一些风险,我们发现了2个警告信号,您应该了解这些信号。

While Fujian Longking isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

虽然福建龙净环保的回报率不是最高的,但是请查看此收益率很高且具有坚实资产负债表的公司的免费列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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