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Should Weakness in Xinhuanet Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603888) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Should Weakness in Xinhuanet Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603888) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

新华网有限公司应该存在弱点吗?”鉴于财务状况良好,s(SHSE: 603888)股票被视为市场将修正股价的标志?
Simply Wall St ·  05/25 20:11

With its stock down 18% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Xinhuanet (SHSE:603888). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Xinhuanet's ROE in this article.

Xinhuanet (SHSE:603888) 的股价在过去三个月下跌了18%,我们很容易忽略它的存在。但如果你仔细观察,你会发现它的关键财务指标看起来相当不错,这意味着在长期来看,市场通常会奖励那些具有更有弹性的长期基本面的公司。具体来说,我们决定在本文中研究 Xinhuanet 的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股东权益回报率(ROE)是测试公司如何有效地增加其价值并管理投资者资金的指标。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于股本资本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Xinhuanet is:

所以,根据以上公式,Xinhuanet 的 ROE 为:

8.0% = CN¥275m ÷ CN¥3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

8.0% = CN¥275m ÷ CN¥3.5b(截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.08 in profit.

“回报”是过去一年的利润。另一种想法是,对于每一元人民币的股权,公司能够赚取0.08元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE对于盈利增长的重要性是什么?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到 ROE 是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司再投资或“保留”的这些利润的数量以及其有效性,我们可以评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他都相同,ROE 和利润保留较高的公司通常具有更高的增长率,与那些没有这些特点的公司相比。

Xinhuanet's Earnings Growth And 8.0% ROE

Xinhuanet 的营收增长和 8.0% 的roe

When you first look at it, Xinhuanet's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 4.9%, is definitely interesting. However, Xinhuanet has seen a flattish net income growth over the past five years, which is not saying much. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the flat earnings growth.

当你第一眼看到它时,Xinhuanet 的roe 看起来并不那么吸引人。但是,公司的roe高于行业平均roe 4.9%,这绝对是令人感兴趣的。然而,Xinhuanet 在过去五年中几乎没有净利润的增长,这并不是什么好兆头。请记住,公司的roe 起点相对较低,只是高于行业平均水平。因此,这在某种程度上可以解释为什么收益增长平稳。

We then compared Xinhuanet's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 1.8% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后我们将 Xinhuanet 的净收入增长与同期行业进行了比较,发现该公司的增长率低于同期行业的平均增长率1.8%,这有点令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603888 Past Earnings Growth May 26th 2024
SHSE:603888 过去 Earnings 增长 2024年5月26日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Xinhuanet fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者需要判断未来的预期收益增长是否已经反映在股票价格中。这将有助于他们判断股票的未来前景是光明还是黯淡。Xinhuanet 的估值是否合理?这3个估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Xinhuanet Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Xinhuanet 是否有效地利用了其保留收益?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 38% (meaning the company retains62% of profits) in the last three-year period, Xinhuanet's earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

在过去的三年中,尽管 Xinhuanet 的中位数分红比率为38%(也就是说,公司保留了62%的利润),但其收益增长基本持平。因此,可能存在一些其他原因来解释这方面的缺陷。例如,此业务可能处于衰退状态。

Moreover, Xinhuanet has been paying dividends for seven years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,Xinhuanet 分红七年,这是相当长的时间,这表明管理层必须认为股东更喜欢股息而不是收益增长。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Xinhuanet certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a respectable rate of return and is reinvesting a huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Xinhuanet's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

总的来说,我们认为Xinhuanet 当然有一些需要考虑的积极因素。然而,低收益增长是有点令人担忧的,尤其是考虑到该公司具有可观的回报率并正在将其大部分利润再投资。看起来,可能存在一些其他因素(不一定在业务控制范围内)阻碍了增长。到目前为止,我们只对公司的增长数据进行了简短的研究。因此,值得检查 Xinhuanet 过去收益,以及收入和现金流的详细图表,以深入了解公司的表现。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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