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We Think Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd (SHSE:600789) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd (SHSE:600789) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为山东鲁抗制药有限公司(SHSE: 600789)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  05/27 18:43

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600789) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍华德·马克思说得好,“与其担心股价的波动性,我担心的是永久性的损失……我认识的每个实践投资者都会担心。”当您审查风险时,考虑公司的资产负债表是很自然的,因为很多公司通过借债来运营。和其他许多公司一样,鲁抗医药股份有限公司(SHSE:600789)也有债务。但股东们应该担心它的债务使用吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法用自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本来轻松履行债务和其他负债时,债务和其他负债将变得有风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。然而,公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久地稀释股东,以补充其资产负债表的情况更为频繁(但仍然代价高昂)。当然,债务的好处通常在于它代表了廉价资本,特别是当它取代了一个公司具有高回报率的再投资能力时。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd Carry?

鲁抗医药公司负债有多重?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd had debt of CN¥2.83b, up from CN¥2.56b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥900.4m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.93b.

下面的图片显示,在2024年3月,鲁抗医药的债务为28.3亿人民币,比一年前的25.6亿人民币增加。与此同时,它有900.4万元的现金,净债务约为19.3亿人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600789 Debt to Equity History May 27th 2024
SHSE:600789自2014年5月27日开始的资产负债历史

How Strong Is Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd's Balance Sheet?

鲁抗医药公司的资产负债表怎么样?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd had liabilities of CN¥3.47b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.63b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥900.4m in cash and CN¥1.51b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥2.69b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,鲁抗医药公司有3470万元的负债到期不超过一年,1630万元的负债到期后至少一年。与此相抵消的是,它拥有900.4万元的现金和15.1亿元的应收账款,这些账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合多2690万元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥7.46b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

虽然这可能看起来很多,但这并不那么糟糕,因为鲁抗医药公司的市值为74.6亿元人民币,因此如果需要,它可能通过筹集资金来加强其资产负债表。但明显的是,我们肯定应该仔细研究它是否可以在不稀释股权的情况下管理其债务。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们使用两个主要的比率来衡量债务水平与收益的关系。一个是净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),另一个是它的利息费用与利息和税前利润(EBIT)相比的倍数(或其利息覆盖率)。这样,我们考虑了债务的绝对量以及所支付的利率。

Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.8 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. On the other hand, Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd grew its EBIT by 21% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

鲁抗医药公司的债务对息税前利润(EBITDA)比率为3.0,其EBIt覆盖其利息费用3.8倍。这表明尽管债务水平很高,我们不必将其称为问题。另一方面,鲁抗医药公司的EBIt 在过去一年增长了21%。如果它能继续保持这种改善,其债务负载将开始像一个温暖世界中的冰川一样消失。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到大部分债务。但正是鲁抗医药公司的收益将影响资产负债表在未来的持续情况。因此,如果您想了解更多关于其收益的信息,不妨查看一下其长期收益趋势的图表。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd's free cash flow amounted to 29% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最后,公司只能用现金偿还债务,而不能用会计利润。因此,我们始终要检查EBIt中有多少被转化为自由现金流。在过去三年中,鲁抗医药公司的自由现金流占其EBIt的29%,低于我们的预期。这不太好,当它需要偿还债务时。

Our View

我们的观点

On our analysis Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd's EBIT growth rate should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to cover its interest expense with its EBIT. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shandong Lukang PharmaceuticalLtd .

根据我们的分析,鲁抗医药公司的EBIt增长率应表明它不会在债务方面有太大的麻烦。然而,我们的其他观察结果并不是那么令人放心。例如,似乎需要一点努力才能用EBIt覆盖其利息费用。看到所有这些数据,让我们对鲁抗医药公司的债务水平感到有些谨慎。尽管债务确实具有更高潜在回报的优势,但我们认为股东们应该考虑债务水平如何使该股票更具风险性。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是广义上的起点。但最终,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。因此,您应该知道我们已经发现了鲁抗医药公司的3个警示信号。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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