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Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600313) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600313) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

中农发种业集团有限公司's(SHSE: 600313)股票一直在下滑但基本面看起来很强劲:市场错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/27 19:18

It is hard to get excited after looking at Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's (SHSE:600313) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.1% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's ROE today.

看了中农发种业集团(SHSE: 600313)最近的表现,很难感到兴奋,当时其股票在过去三个月中下跌了9.1%。但是,股票价格通常由公司的长期财务业绩驱动,在这种情况下,这看起来很有希望。特别是,我们今天将关注中农发种业集团的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

投资回报率或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得投资回报的有用工具。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,中农发种业集团的投资回报率为:

7.6% = CN¥225m ÷ CN¥2.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

7.6% = 2.25亿元人民币 ÷ 29亿元人民币(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.08 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。这意味着,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就会产生0.08元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's Earnings Growth And 7.6% ROE

中农发种业集团的收益增长和7.6%的投资回报率

When you first look at it, Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 6.3% doesn't go unnoticed by us. Particularly, the substantial 50% net income growth seen by Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group over the past five years is impressive . That being said, the company does have a slightly low ROE to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. For example, it is possible that the broader industry is going through a high growth phase, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

乍一看,中农发种业集团的投资回报率看起来并不那么吸引人。但是,其投资回报率远高于行业平均水平的6.3%,这一事实并没有被我们忽视。特别是,中农发种业集团在过去五年中实现了50%的净收入大幅增长,这令人印象深刻。话虽如此,该公司的投资回报率一开始确实略低,只是高于行业平均水平。因此,收益的增长也可能是其他因素的结果。例如,整个行业可能正在经历高增长阶段,或者该公司的派息率很低。

As a next step, we compared Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 7.8%.

下一步,我们将中农发种业集团的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,令人高兴的是,我们发现该公司的增长高于行业平均增长7.8%。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600313 Past Earnings Growth May 27th 2024
SHSE: 600313 过去的收益增长 2024 年 5 月 27 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查中农发种业集团相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中农发种业集团是否在有效利用其利润?

Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group doesn't pay any regular dividends currently which essentially means that it has been reinvesting all of its profits into the business. This definitely contributes to the high earnings growth number that we discussed above.

中农发种业集团目前不支付任何定期分红,这实质上意味着它一直在将所有利润再投资于该业务。这无疑促成了我们上面讨论的高收益增长数字。

Summary

摘要

Overall, we are quite pleased with Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business at a moderate rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Not to forget, share price outcomes are also dependent on the potential risks a company may face. So it is important for investors to be aware of the risks involved in the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group.

总体而言,我们对中农发种业集团的表现非常满意。特别是,我们喜欢该公司以适度的回报率对其业务进行大量再投资。毫不奇怪,这带来了令人印象深刻的收益增长。考虑到每股收益如何影响长期股价,如果该公司继续以现有方式增长收益,这可能会对其股价产生积极影响。别忘了,股价结果还取决于公司可能面临的潜在风险。因此,投资者必须意识到业务所涉及的风险。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为中农发种业集团确定的两种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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