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Is Hangjin Technology (SZSE:000818) A Risky Investment?

Is Hangjin Technology (SZSE:000818) A Risky Investment?

航锦科技(深圳证券交易所股票代码:000818)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/27 22:35

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Hangjin Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000818) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

伯克希尔·哈撒韦旗下的外部基金经理李录非常明确地表示:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是您是否会遭受资本永久损失。” 因为债务通常与业务崩溃有关,所以在评估业务风险时,考虑公司的资产负债表是很自然的。言归正传,航锦科技股份有限公司(深圳证券交易所:000818)确实有债务。 但更重要的问题是:这种债务造成了多少风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当公司无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格募集资本,无法轻易履行债务和其他负债时,债务和其他负债就会对公司构成风险。最终,如果公司无法履行其法定还款义务,则股东可能会一无所有。虽然这不太常见,但我们经常看到欠债的公司永久性地稀释股东,因为贷方迫使它们以窘迫的价格募集资本。当然,债务可以是企业尤其是资本重型企业的重要工具。考虑企业使用多少债务时,首要做法是将其现金和负债一起看。

What Is Hangjin Technology's Debt?

航锦科技的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Hangjin Technology had CN¥1.31b of debt, an increase on CN¥658.4m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥448.0m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥861.7m.

您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数字,但截至2024年3月,航锦科技有13.1亿人民币的债务,较去年增加了6584万人民币。相反,它有4,4800万元的现金,导致净债务约为861.7万元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000818 Debt to Equity History May 28th 2024
深圳证券交易所:000818的负债/净资产历史数据于2024年5月28日。

A Look At Hangjin Technology's Liabilities

看看航锦科技的负债情况

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hangjin Technology had liabilities of CN¥2.23b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥618.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥448.0m in cash and CN¥1.42b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥976.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Zoom-in最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,航锦技术在12个月内有2230万元人民币的负债,超过6183万元人民币。相反,它有4,4800万元的现金和14.2亿人民币的应收账款,这些账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总计超过现金和短期应收账款近9760万元人民币。

Since publicly traded Hangjin Technology shares are worth a total of CN¥16.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由于公开交易的航锦科技股票总价值约为169亿,因此似乎这种程度的负债不会构成重大威胁。但是,负债足够大,我们当然建议股东继续关注资产负债表的变化方向。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了比较一个公司的债务与其收益的关系,我们计算其净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前的收益和利息前的收益(其利息覆盖率)。因此,我们考虑了债务的绝对数量以及支付的利率。

Hangjin Technology's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.9 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 10.6 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. It is well worth noting that Hangjin Technology's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 78% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Hangjin Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

航锦科技的净债务/息税折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA)比率约为1.9,表明仅对债务进行了适度使用。其10.6倍的EBIT优势意味着负债轻如孔雀羽毛。 值得注意的是,航锦科技的EBIT在过去十二个月中增长了78%。 这将使其更容易应对债务。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务最多。 但是,航锦科技的收益将影响资产负债表在未来的承受能力。 因此,在考虑债务时,确实值得关注收益趋势。 点击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Hangjin Technology burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,公司只能用现金偿付债务,而不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,我们需要清楚地了解EBIT是否带来相应的自由现金流。在过去三年中,航锦科技烧掉了大量现金。虽然投资者无疑希望在适当的时候会有所反转,但这显然意味着其债务使用更加风险。

Our View

我们的观点

Based on what we've seen Hangjin Technology is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Hangjin Technology is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hangjin Technology you should be aware of.

根据我们所见,航锦科技并不容易转化EBIT为自由现金流,但我们考虑的其他因素使我们有理由感到乐观。尤其是,我们对其EBIT增长率感到折服。 如果考虑到以上提到的所有因素,则我们认为航锦科技正在很好地管理其债务。 但是请注意,我们认为债务水平已经足够高,需要进行持续监测。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的区域。 但是,最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。 例如:我们发现航锦科技有2个警告信号需要注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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