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Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology (SHSE:688153) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology (SHSE:688153) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Vanchip(天津)科技(上海证券交易所股票代码:688153)可以轻松承担更多债务
Simply Wall St ·  05/29 00:39

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688153) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍华德·马克斯(Howard Marks)曾经非常妙语连珠地说,与其担心股价波动,不如担心“永久性损失的可能性…而且我所认识的每一个实践投资者都会担心这个问题。”在考虑风险时,考虑一家公司的资产负债表是很自然的,因为在企业崩溃时通常涉及债务。我们发现万集科技(天津)股份有限公司(SHSE:688153)确实在其业务中使用了借款。但更重要的问题是:这些债务正在创造多少风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

通常情况下,当公司无法通过筹集资本或自有现金流轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。作为资本主义的一部分,“创造性破坏”的过程是失败的企业被银行家无情清算。不过,更频繁发生的情况是公司必须以低于市场价的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东的权益以弥补其资产负债表的问题。债务可以取代稀释股权,成为那些需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。在审查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology's Net Debt?

什么是万集科技(天津)的净债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology had CN¥102.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥98.1m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥2.83b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.73b.

您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示截至2024年3月,万集科技(天津)的债务为10200万元人民币,同比增加981万元人民币,超过了一年。但它有28.3亿的现金抵消这一切,导致净现金为27.3亿人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688153 Debt to Equity History May 29th 2024
SHSE:688153的债权股权历史发展:2024年5月29日。

How Healthy Is Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology's Balance Sheet?

万集科技(天津)的资产负债表状况如何?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology had liabilities of CN¥568.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥54.1m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.83b and CN¥454.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥2.66b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最近披露的资产负债表,万集科技(天津)有5680万元人民币的短期负债,5410万元人民币的超过12个月的负债。另一方面,它持有28.3亿人民币和4549万元人民币的应收账款。所以实际上它有266亿人民币。总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种短期流动性是万集科技(天津)可以轻松偿还债务的迹象,因为它的资产负债表远未过度。简而言之,万集科技(天津)拥有比债务多的现金量,这可以认为是它可以安全地管理债务的良好指标。

It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥62m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

令人欣喜的是,尽管去年在EBIt线上亏损,万集科技(天津)在过去12个月扭转了局面,提供CN¥6200万的EBIt。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是一个明显的起点。但是,未来的收入而不是别的什么将决定万集科技(天津)在未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份免费报告,其中显示了分析师的盈利预测。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务,会计利润无法满足。虽然万集科技(天津)在资产负债表上有净现金,但仍有必要查看其将利息和税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其现金余额的增长(或侵蚀)速度。值得高兴的是,万集科技(天津)实际上产生的自由现金流比EBIt多。这种强大的现金转化使我们像听到Daft Punk音乐会时的人群一样兴奋。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology has CN¥2.73b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥187m, being 300% of its EBIT. So is Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

虽然调查一家公司的债务总是明智的,在这种情况下,万集科技(天津)有2.73亿人民币的净现金和一张看起来还不错的资产负债表。 它让我们惊讶的自由现金流为1.87亿人民币,是其EBIt的300%。 那么,万集科技(天津)的债务是否构成风险? 我们认为并不是。资产负债表显然是分析债务的关键领域。然而,并非所有的投资风险都源自资产负债表——远非如此。我们已经确定了万集科技(天津)的2个警告信号,并且了解它们应该成为您投资过程的一部分。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时更容易关注那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费查看零净债务增长股票列表,立即获得。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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