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The Total Return for Federal Agricultural Mortgage (NYSE:AGM) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years

The Total Return for Federal Agricultural Mortgage (NYSE:AGM) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years

在过去五年中,联邦农业抵押贷款(纽约证券交易所代码:AGM)投资者的总回报率增长速度超过了收益的增长
Simply Wall St ·  05/29 07:37

When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For instance, the price of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (NYSE:AGM) stock is up an impressive 142% over the last five years. In contrast, the stock has fallen 9.1% in the last 30 days. The company reported its financial results recently; you can catch up on the latest numbers by reading our company report.

当您购买一家公司的股票时,应注意可能会面临公司破产和损失资金的风险。但好在,如果您以正确的价格购买高质量公司的股票,您可以获得高达100%以上的收益。例如,联邦农业抵押贷款公司(NYSE:AGM)的股票价格在过去五年中上涨了惊人的142%。相比之下,该股票在过去30天下跌了9.1%。该公司最近发布了其财务业绩报告,您可以通过阅读我们的公司报告了解最新的数字。

While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

虽然过去的一周削弱了公司的五年回报,但让我们看看业务的最近趋势,并查看收益是否已对齐。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

市场有时候是有效的,但价格并不总是反映公司的基本业务表现。通过比较每股收益和股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的看法如何随着时间变化而变化。

During five years of share price growth, Federal Agricultural Mortgage achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 13% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 19% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

在过去五年的股价增长期间,联邦农业抵押贷款公司实现了每股收益(EPS)增长13%的复合增长率。这种EPS增长低于股价每年增长的19%的平均水平。因此,可以合理地假设市场对该业务的看法比五年前更高。鉴于增长的历史记录,这并不令人惊讶。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:AGM Earnings Per Share Growth May 29th 2024
NYSE:AGM的每股收益增长截至2024年5月29日。

We know that Federal Agricultural Mortgage has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Federal Agricultural Mortgage will grow revenue in the future.

我们知道联邦农业抵押贷款公司的底线近期有所改善,但它是否会增长营业收入?请查看分析师是否认为联邦农业抵押贷款公司将来会增长营业收入。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Federal Agricultural Mortgage the TSR over the last 5 years was 190%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报之外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。而股价回报仅反映了股价的变化,TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息被再投资)以及任何折价的资本筹集或剥离的利益。可以说,TSR提供了股票收益的更全面的图片。我们注意到,联邦农业抵押贷款公司过去5年的TSR为190%,比上述股价回报要好。这在很大程度上是由于其股息支付造成的!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

We're pleased to report that Federal Agricultural Mortgage shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 32% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 24% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Federal Agricultural Mortgage better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Federal Agricultural Mortgage .

我们很高兴地报告,联邦农业抵押贷款公司股东在一年内获得了32%的股东总回报。当然,这包括股息。由于一年的TSR高于五年的TSR(后者为每年24%),因此似乎该股票的表现近期有所改善。在最理想的情况下,这可能暗示着真正的业务动力,这意味着现在深入挖掘的时机可能非常好。跟踪较长期的股价表现总是很有趣的。但是要更好地了解联邦农业抵押贷款公司,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。为此,您应该知道我们发现的1个警告信号,即联邦农业抵押贷款公司。

We will like Federal Agricultural Mortgage better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大型内部人士购买,我们会更喜欢联邦农业抵押贷款公司。在等待期间,请查看这份免费的低价股票(主要是小市值股票),其中包括最近的内部购买。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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