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Fonterra's Resilience Amidst Global Retreat

Fonterra's Resilience Amidst Global Retreat

恒天然在全球撤退中的韧性
sharecafe ·  05/29 02:03

Fonterra (ASX:FSF), the huge New Zealand-based dairy giant, might be on the retreat globally with a string of asset sales, but as far as the immediate outlook is concerned, it's quite upbeat.

总部位于新西兰的大型乳业巨头恒天然(ASX: FSF)可能会通过一系列资产出售在全球范围内撤退,但就近期前景而言,它相当乐观。

Wednesday saw it reveal a slightly higher first estimate of its key farmgate milk price for the coming season, lift its earnings forecast for the current financial year, and add that it has seen a 'high volume of interest' in potential sale of consumer brands in Australia and New Zealand.

该公司周三公布了对下个季节主要农场牛奶价格的初步估计,略有上调,上调了本财政年度的收益预期,并补充说,澳大利亚和新西兰消费品牌的潜在销售有 “大量兴趣”。

Earnings from continuing operations edged up 2% in the third quarter to $NZ1.01 billion, but there was a 6% drop in EBIT from those businesses to $NZ1.44 billion.

第三季度持续经营业务的收益小幅增长了2%,至10.1亿新西兰元,但这些业务的息税前利润下降了6%,至14.4亿新西兰元。

Its estimated earnings per share from continuing operations were 61 NZ cents, while reported earnings per share were 58 NZ cents.

其持续经营业务的估计每股收益为61新西兰分,而报告的每股收益为58新西兰分。

Fonterra lifted its forecast for the 2024 financial year continuing operations' earnings range from 50-65 NZ cents per share to 60-70 NZ cents per share - that's a possible 20% improvement.

恒天然将其对2024财年持续经营业务收益范围的预测从每股50-65新西兰分上调至每股60-70新西兰分,这可能增长20%。

In addition, the opening forecast farmgate milk price for the 2024-25 season was set at $NZ7.25-$NZ8.75 per kgMS, with a midpoint of $NZ8.

此外,开盘预测的2024-25年农场牛奶价格为每公斤7.25新西兰元至8.75新西兰元,中点为8新西兰元。

Fonterra's current season forecast farmgate milk price remained unchanged at a midpoint of $NZ7.80 per kgMS, with a narrowed range of $NZ7.70-$NZ7.90 per kgMS. Directors said the rise in third-quarter earnings was "driven by continued strong earnings across all three of the Co-op's product channels."

恒天然本季预测的农场牛奶价格保持不变,中点为每公斤7.80新西兰元,区间缩小至每公斤7.70新西兰元至7.90新西兰元。董事们表示,第三季度收益的增长 “是由合作社所有三个产品渠道的持续强劲收益推动的。”

CEO Miles Hurrell says the Co-op's Foodservice and Consumer channels, in particular, had a strong third quarter with a lift in earnings compared to the same time last year.

首席执行官迈尔斯·赫雷尔表示,合作社的餐饮服务和消费者渠道尤其表现强劲,与去年同期相比,收益有所提高。

The company noted that Global Dairy Trade (GDT) prices have risen in the past couple of months, back to levels seen around the start of this year.

该公司指出,全球乳制品贸易(GDT)的价格在过去几个月中有所上涨,回到了今年年初左右的水平。

"Our current season forecast Farmgate Milk Price midpoint remains unchanged at $7.80 per kgMS and as we are nearing the end of the season, we have narrowed the range to $7.70-$7.90 per kgMS.

“我们本季预测的Farmgate牛奶价格中点保持不变,为每公斤7.80美元,随着本季接近尾声,我们已将区间缩小至每公斤7.70美元至7.90美元。

"Looking to the 2024/25 season, milk supply and demand dynamics remain finely balanced and China import volumes have not yet recovered to historic levels.

“展望2024/25季节,牛奶供需动态保持良好平衡,中国的进口量尚未恢复到历史水平。

"Given the early point in the season, the uncertainty in the outlook and ongoing risk of volatility in global markets, we are starting the season with a cautious approach. Our opening forecast range is $7.25-$8.75 per kgMS with a midpoint of $8.00 per kgMS," says Mr Hurrell.

“鉴于本季初期、前景的不确定性以及全球市场持续的波动风险,我们在本赛季开始时采取了谨慎的态度。我们的开盘预测区间为每公斤7.25美元至8.75美元,中点为每公斤8.00美元,” 赫雷尔说。

"Fonterra said its sales volumes were up slightly on last year by 1%, due to higher sales volumes in its Foodservice and Consumer channels.

“恒天然表示,其销售量比去年略有增长1%,这是由于其餐饮服务和消费者渠道的销售量增加。

"We also saw price relativities ease over the quarter, and we anticipate them to narrow further in Q4 as they return to more historic levels.

“我们还看到本季度价格相对波动有所缓解,随着价格恢复到更高的历史水平,我们预计第四季度价格相对差将进一步缩小。

"Gross margins remain strong across all three channels as our in-market teams continue to drive pricing and volume. Foodservice and Consumer volumes are up 4% and 7% respectively year on year, with margins consistent with Q2," the CEO said.

“随着我们的市场内团队继续推动定价和销量,所有三个渠道的毛利率都保持强劲。首席执行官说,餐饮服务和消费者量分别同比增长4%和7%,利润率与第二季度一致。

And in an update of the major strategy switch announced several weeks ago, Hurrell said Fonterra has seen a lot of interest in its consumer and associated business (in Australia, NZ, and Sri Lanka).

在几周前宣布的重大战略转变的最新情况中,赫雷尔表示,恒天然对其消费者和关联业务(澳大利亚、新西兰和斯里兰卡)产生了浓厚的兴趣。

"It's still early days in this process, and we are also progressing work on our updated strategy and expect to share further detail over the coming months," according to Mr. Hurrell.

赫雷尔表示:“这一过程还处于初期阶段,我们也在推进最新战略的工作,并预计将在未来几个月内分享更多细节。”

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