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We Think Shenyang Machine Tool (SZSE:000410) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

We Think Shenyang Machine Tool (SZSE:000410) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

我们认为沈阳机床(SZSE: 000410)有相当一部分债务
Simply Wall St ·  2024/05/30 17:09

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Shenyang Machine Tool Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000410) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理李录(查理芒格的支持者)曾说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”因此,当您考虑一只股票的风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会使一家公司不堪重负。重要的是,沈阳机床股份有限公司(SZSE:000410)确实负债。但是这笔债务是否让股东担忧?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当一家公司无法轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是通过自身现金流。在最糟糕的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人,它可能会破产。然而,更常见但仍然代价高昂的情况是,公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,从而永久性地稀释股东的股份,以维护其资产负债表。通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要以高回报率投资于增长的业务获得资本的极好工具。在考虑一家公司使用了多少债务时,首要做的事情是看看其现金和债务的总和。

What Is Shenyang Machine Tool's Debt?

沈阳机床的负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Shenyang Machine Tool had CN¥1.10b of debt, an increase on none, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥280.7m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥817.1m.

您可以单击下面的图形获取历史数据,但它显示,截至2024年3月,沈阳机床负债11亿元,同比增长了零;而现金达到2.807亿元,导致净债务约为8.171亿元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000410 Debt to Equity History May 30th 2024
SZSE:000410债务股本比历史数据于May 30th 2024

A Look At Shenyang Machine Tool's Liabilities

从最近的资产负债表中,我们可以看到沈阳机床有15.5亿元的短期负债,而有6137万元的长期负债。与此同时,它还有2.807亿元的现金和7227万元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合多出1.16亿元。鉴于沈阳机床的市值为14.5亿元,很难相信这些负债会构成多大威胁。然而,我们认为值得关注其资产负债表的强壮程度,因为它可能随时间变化而改变。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的区域。 但是,您不能将债务完全孤立地看待;因为沈阳机床需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,值得关注收益趋势。单击此处获取交互式快照。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenyang Machine Tool had liabilities of CN¥1.55b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥613.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥280.7m as well as receivables valued at CN¥722.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.16b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

在过去的12个月中,沈阳机床在EBIt水平实现了亏损,并将其收入降至1.5亿元,下降了5.8%。我们更希望看到增长。重要的是,沈阳机床去年EBIT出现亏损。事实上,它在EBIt水平上损失了2.25亿元。当我们考虑到其资产负债表上的债务相对于现金时,我们认为公司持有任何债务是不明智的。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远未达到最佳状态,尽管随着时间的推移,它可能会得到改善。值得一提的是,过去12个月的EBIt损失比自由现金流的4400万元和利润的2900万元还要糟糕。因此,有人可能会认为它仍有可能走上正确的轨道。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的区域。但是,最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。例如,我们已经确定了沈阳机床的2个警告信号(其中1个让我们有点不安),您应该注意。

Given Shenyang Machine Tool has a market capitalization of CN¥14.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenyang Machine Tool will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

给定沈阳机床的市值为14.5亿元,很难相信这些负债会构成多大威胁。然而,我们认为值得关注其资产负债表的强壮程度,因为它可能随时间变化而改变。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的区域。 但是,您不能将债务完全孤立地看待;因为沈阳机床需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,值得关注收益趋势。单击此处获取交互式快照。

Over 12 months, Shenyang Machine Tool made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.5b, which is a fall of 5.8%. We would much prefer see growth.

在过去的12个月中,沈阳机床在EBIt水平实现了亏损,并将其收入降至1.5亿元,下降了5.8%。我们更希望看到增长。

Caveat Emptor

买方自负。

Importantly, Shenyang Machine Tool had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥225m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. On the bright side, we note that trailing twelve month EBIT is worse than the free cash flow of CN¥44m and the profit of CN¥29m. So one might argue that there's still a chance it can get things on the right track. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shenyang Machine Tool (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

重要的是,沈阳机床去年EBIT出现亏损。事实上,它在EBIt水平上损失了2.25亿元。当我们考虑到其资产负债表上的债务相对于现金时,我们认为公司持有任何债务是不明智的。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远未达到最佳状态,尽管随着时间的推移,它可能会得到改善。值得一提的是,过去12个月的EBIt损失比自由现金流的4400万元和利润的2900万元还要糟糕。因此,有人可能会认为它仍有可能走上正确的轨道。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的区域。但是,最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。例如,我们已经确定了沈阳机床的2个警告信号(其中1个让我们有点不安),您应该注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时更容易关注那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费查看零净债务增长股票列表,立即获得。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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