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Is Perfect World (SZSE:002624) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Perfect World (SZSE:002624) Using Too Much Debt?

完美世界 (SZSE: 002624) 是否使用过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  05/31 20:12

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Perfect World Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002624) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,完美世界有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002624)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Perfect World's Debt?

什么是完美世界的债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Perfect World had CN¥540.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥450.9m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥4.43b in cash, so it actually has CN¥3.89b net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,完美世界在一年内有5.406亿元人民币的债务,比4.509亿元人民币的债务有所增加。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有44.3亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有38.9亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002624 Debt to Equity History June 1st 2024
SZSE: 002624 2024 年 6 月 1 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Perfect World's Balance Sheet?

完美世界的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Perfect World had liabilities of CN¥3.74b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.55b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.43b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.03b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥158.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,完美世界在12个月内到期的负债为37.4亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为15.5亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有44.3亿元人民币的现金以及价值10.3亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有1.586亿元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

This state of affairs indicates that Perfect World's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥18.2b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Perfect World has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种状况表明,完美世界的资产负债表看起来相当稳健,因为其总负债几乎等于其流动资产。因此,这家182亿元人民币的公司现金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得关注资产负债表。简而言之,完美世界的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

It is just as well that Perfect World's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 93% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Perfect World's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

完美世界的负荷也不是太重,因为其息税前利润比去年下降了93%。收益下降(如果这种趋势持续下去)最终也可能使即使是微不足道的债务也相当危险。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定完美世界未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Perfect World has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Perfect World generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 91% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。尽管完美世界的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将利息和税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去三年中,完美世界产生的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的91%,超出了我们的预期。如果需要的话,这有利于偿还债务。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Perfect World has net cash of CN¥3.89b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of -CN¥4.4m, being 91% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Perfect World's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Perfect World (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,完美世界的净现金为38.9亿元人民币,流动资产比负债还多。它的自由现金流为-440万元人民币,占其息税前利润的91%,给我们留下了深刻的印象。因此,我们对完美世界使用债务没有任何问题。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,你应该了解我们在《完美世界》中发现的3个警告信号(包括一个不容忽视的警告信号)。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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