Is Inly Media (SHSE:603598) A Risky Investment?
Is Inly Media (SHSE:603598) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Inly Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603598) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。与许多其他公司一样,英利媒体有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:603598)也使用债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。
How Much Debt Does Inly Media Carry?
Inly Media 背负了多少债务?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Inly Media had CN¥264.1m of debt, up from CN¥210.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥51.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥213.0m.
如下所示,截至2024年3月底,Inly Media的债务为2.641亿元人民币,高于去年同期的2.103亿元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。但是,它确实有5,110万加元的现金抵消了这一点,净负债约为2.13亿元人民币。
A Look At Inly Media's Liabilities
看看 Inly Media 的负债
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Inly Media had liabilities of CN¥1.14b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥50.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥51.1m and CN¥585.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥552.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,Inly Media在12个月内到期的负债为11.4亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为5,050万元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为5,110万元人民币和价值5.855亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出5.526亿元人民币。
Since publicly traded Inly Media shares are worth a total of CN¥4.15b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
由于公开交易的Inly Media股票总价值为41.5亿元人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。
Inly Media's debt is 3.5 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 6.8 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. We also note that Inly Media improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive CN¥59m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Inly Media's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Inly Media的债务是其息税折旧摊销前利润的3.5倍,其息税前利润可支付其利息支出的6.8倍。这表明,尽管债务水平很高,但我们不会称其为有问题。我们还注意到,Inly Media将其息税前利润从去年的亏损提高至正5900万元人民币。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是Inly Media的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Inly Media produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 70% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,值得检查一下利息和税前收益(EBIT)中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。去年,Inly Media产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的70%,与我们的预期差不多。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Inly Media's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. All these things considered, it appears that Inly Media can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Inly Media (including 2 which are concerning) .
Inly Media将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,这表明它可以像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多在对阵14岁以下的守门员的比赛中进球一样轻松地处理债务。但是,更悲观的是,我们对其净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润的比例有些担忧。考虑到所有这些因素,Inly Media似乎可以轻松应对其当前的债务水平。当然,尽管这种杠杆可以提高股本回报率,但它确实带来了更多的风险,因此值得关注。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,你应该了解我们在Inly Media上发现的3个警告信号(包括2个令人担忧的警告信号)。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。
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