
- 要闻
- 氯碱b股(上海中期氯碱化工股份有限公司,SHSE:600618)需要提振前景以提高股价
Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600618) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares
Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600618) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares
Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600618) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.8x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 59x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
For instance, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 9.3% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 38% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
上海氯碱化工股份有限公司 (SHSE:600618) 的市盈率(P/E)为13.8倍,与中国市场上约有一半的公司的市盈率超过32倍,甚至市盈率超过59倍相当普遍相比,看起来现在它是一个强劲的买点。尽管如此,单纯看市盈率并不明智,因为可能存在原因解释它为仅为13.8倍。
举例来说,上海氯碱化工近期收益下滑应该是需要深思的。可能是许多人预期收益表现将会继续或加剧,这已经压制了市盈率。但是,如果这种情况没有发生,那么现有股东可能会对股价未来方向感到乐观。

增长指标对低P/E告诉我们什么?
只有当公司的增长前景明显落后于市场时,你才会真正放心地看到像上海氯碱化工这样压抑的市盈率。
首先回顾一下去年该公司每股收益的增长表现并没有什么特别值得期待的地方,因为它发布了一个令人失望的下降27%的负增长。而过去三年也不是很好,因为该公司累计减少了9.3%的每股收益。相应地,股东们可能对中期收益增长率感到悲观。
如果将中期盈利轨迹与更广泛的市场一年内预计扩张38%的趋势相比较,显示这是一种不愉快的情况。
鉴于此,上海氯碱化工的市盈率低于大多数其他公司是可以理解的。然而,如果收益继续下降,我们无法保证市盈率已经触底。如果公司不改善其盈利能力,市盈率还有下降的潜力。
重要提示
通常,我们比较偏向于限制使用市盈率来确定市场对一家公司整体健康状况的看法。
正如我们所怀疑的那样,在市场预计将会增长的情况下,上海氯碱化工缩减的中期收益正在影响它的低市盈率。目前,投资者认为收益改善的潜力并不足以证明更高的市盈率比率是合理的。除非近期中期条件得到改善,否则它们将继续形成股价的障碍。
你应该始终考虑风险。例如,我们已经发现上海氯碱化工的2个警告信号,你应该知道。
你可能会找到比上海氯碱化工更好的投资。如果你想选择一些可能的候选人,可以查看这份免费的低市盈率有增长证明的有趣公司清单。
对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或电邮 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Australia Limited提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
风险及免责提示
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Australia Limited提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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